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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

wow at that hrrr
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KCAE as of now, has downgraded the Winter Storm Watch areas of the Central Midlands to Advisories, but have expanded them. Basically saying the guidance over night was warmer but its tricky.. and not sure enough to upgrade any area to a warning down here. Hopefully this is what plays out unless you're a psychopath who wants an ice storm.

Edit: i was made aware that an advisory is technically an upgrade from a watch.
 
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Shawn said:
KCAE as of now, has downgraded the Winter Storm Watch areas of the Central Midlands to Advisories, but have expanded them. Basically saying the guidance over night was warmer but its tricky.. and not sure enough to upgrade any area to a warning down here. Hopefully this is what plays out unless you're a psychopath who wants an ice storm.

Edit: i was made aware that an advisory is technically an upgrade from a watch.
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Yeah, that never made sense to me when less is required for an advisory from a winter storm criteria
 
Peachtree NWS changed advisory of Forsyth and Cherokee down to WWA but added more metro counties and then upgraded more northern counties to Winter Storm Warnings. Funny part is my county (Forsyth) still has same forecasted impacts as we did when we had the watch. ??‍♀️
 
NAtlantaStudio said:
Peachtree NWS changed advisory of Forsyth and Cherokee down to WWA but added more metro counties and then upgraded more northern counties to Winter Storm Warnings. Funny part is my county (Forsyth) still has same forecasted impacts as we did when we had the watch. ??‍♀️
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Huntsville AFD

Beginning around or shortly after sunrise, boundary layer flow will
back to the north-northeast as the mid-level low and its related
surface cyclone accelerate northeastward in response to an amplifying
northern stream trough across the northern Plains. Resultant low-
level cold advection will lead to a gradual transition from rain to a
rain-snow mixture, that should initially begin across northwest AL
before shifting southeastward through the morning hours. It is still
unclear how much snow will accumulate on the surface given the
antecedent rainfall, but at this point we will maintain amounts
ranging from a trace up to one inch across northwest/north central
AL. Precipitation will quickly end from southwest-to-northeast during
the afternoon as deep-layer flow backs further to the northwest in
the wake of the departing storm system, but this will occur as the
low-level thermal profile becomes more conducive for very light snow
or snow flurries. Overall, it still appears as if the highest
likelihood for snowfall accumulations in the 2-4 inch range will be
across the higher terrain of southern TN/northeast AL, where a Winter
Storm Watch remains in effect. A brief period of light freezing
drizzle may also occur in this region, with glazing potentially
resulting in a greater risk for hazardous travel.
 
PARSONBROWN said:
Huntsville AFD

Beginning around or shortly after sunrise, boundary layer flow will
back to the north-northeast as the mid-level low and its related
surface cyclone accelerate northeastward in response to an amplifying
northern stream trough across the northern Plains. Resultant low-
level cold advection will lead to a gradual transition from rain to a
rain-snow mixture, that should initially begin across northwest AL
before shifting southeastward through the morning hours. It is still
unclear how much snow will accumulate on the surface given the
antecedent rainfall, but at this point we will maintain amounts
ranging from a trace up to one inch across northwest/north central
AL. Precipitation will quickly end from southwest-to-northeast during
the afternoon as deep-layer flow backs further to the northwest in
the wake of the departing storm system, but this will occur as the
low-level thermal profile becomes more conducive for very light snow
or snow flurries. Overall, it still appears as if the highest
likelihood for snowfall accumulations in the 2-4 inch range will be
across the higher terrain of southern TN/northeast AL, where a Winter
Storm Watch remains in effect. A brief period of light freezing
drizzle may also occur in this region, with glazing potentially
resulting in a greater risk for hazardous travel.
Click to expand...
HUN is less than impressed…. Guess I don’t blame them.
 
I won't shocked if NWS Atlanta extend the WWA down to Henry, County, GA and southwestard.
 
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