Form what they put out before mentions likely expansions of the watch or possibly warning. Probably will come out in a few minutes.
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Snowflowxxl
Member
??????
Updated Winter Storm Watch
olhausen
Member
The 18z has not been kind to much of TN. This is probably their worst of the last six or seven runs.
I don’t know that I’ve ever seen such extreme model discrepancies. 12Z Euro and it’s ens run says winter is coming while the 18Z NAM says I’ll be building a mud man.The 18z has not been kind to much of TN. This is probably their worst of the last six or seven runs.
Here is the 12Z Euro plus it’s Ens run.
And the 18z Nam
There it is.
Dade-Walker-Catoosa-Whitfield-Murray-Chattooga-Gordon-Cherokee-
Forsyth-Gwinnett-Barrow-Clarke-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Wilkes-
Including the cities of Calhoun, Lawrenceville, and Athens
400 PM EST Fri Jan 14 2022
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations of up to two inches, with higher amounts possible
at higher elevations, and ice accumulations of up two tenths of
an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of east central, north central, northeast and
northwest Georgia.
* WHEN...From late Saturday night through late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the
heavy snow and ice. Travel could be nearly impossible
Dade-Walker-Catoosa-Whitfield-Murray-Chattooga-Gordon-Cherokee-
Forsyth-Gwinnett-Barrow-Clarke-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Wilkes-
Including the cities of Calhoun, Lawrenceville, and Athens
400 PM EST Fri Jan 14 2022
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations of up to two inches, with higher amounts possible
at higher elevations, and ice accumulations of up two tenths of
an inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
* WHERE...Portions of east central, north central, northeast and
northwest Georgia.
* WHEN...From late Saturday night through late Sunday night.
* IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the
heavy snow and ice. Travel could be nearly impossible
For you Charlotte proper peeps. BP leaning to an Ice Storm for the metro.. (even though we are under WSW)
Winter Weather Advisory probably coming for rest of Atlanta metro shortly
Snowflowxxl
Member
18z RGEM (tons of ice in SC)
iGRXY
Member
cyclogent
Member
similar to the Jan 3rd storm, but with a longer period of snow and cooler ground temps, I think we'll end up with more to show for it in the valleys
downtown = dusting
airport = 1/2"
suburbs (Soddy, Ooltewah, Ringgold, etc) = 1" to 1.5"
2-3" on the ridgetops (1000-1400' elevation)
3"-6" for Lookout and Signal mtns
Nam, is getting beefy for Atlanta metro
ATLwxfan
Member
NWS likes the HRRR and that southerly track
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
For Example Soundings off of Pivotal for Cherokee, Etowah, and Lawrence counties in AL all show Snow sounds even though model depicts rain and no accumulation at frame 48
Ron Burgundy
Member
So are HRRR, Icon and RGEM.
Meh, I think he may be possibly overdoing doing ice totals. I think a WSW is sufficient enough considering the uncertainty in what type of precip may fall. What's concerning to me is the fact that we may see a quick burst of 1-3 inches of front-end snow and if we add even a .50 inch on top of that, with the wind we could be looking at some significant issues. But not sure if that warrants an Ice storm warning.
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What is the sounding for The Atl airport or how can I access this?
I like Chris but this is a bad graphic. Really bad call here for the southern extent imo
TigerSnow
Member
I think we most likely see a sloppy mix of sleet and maybe a little snow with a dash of rain mixed in around Charlotte. Seen this story a lot. Warm nose always wins even in my area north of Charlotte. The low is just cranking to much and blowtorching with those windows from the south.
Yep. That video they did said they favor the southern track which means all of metro ATL will be included in future watches/warnings.