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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

Yeah overall NAMs are a improvement and they inched toward that HRRR run as well....But I think NAM got a little touch of Covid or something with those soundings of Rain in areas West....Now previously that Precip field was drying up and not even there so perhaps its' just feeling it out for now
 
Winds still could be problem, RAH NWS mentioned they may have to increase winds also

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Found this interesting from this morning, a true boom or bust scenario for the area highlighted across North MS/AL

So if that map is what he says it is, around here and Gainesville have a near 100% chance of extreme snowfall if that's what I'm getting at from the European. Never seen this map before so idk how valuable it is.
 
Wack-a-mole snowstorm. Dusting and 1 mile away 6" of snow? This solution seems very odd. Model struggling with cooling/thermal issues causing weird output.
Yeah and honestly the 18z run looks very similar to yesterdays 18z which didn't have the wacko thermal crap
 
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