Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Shawn]

Icon remains a mess:

 

[coldfront22]

Thanks Jack. Hoping less ice more snow. 85/74 always close for both types of precip.

 

[Ward Cleaver]

RAH’s forecast is giving me 4” of mostly snow from early Sunday to late Sunday. Some sleet mixed in early Sunday afternoon followed by freezing rain late Sunday afternoon.

 

[snowlover91]

Interesting trends on the RGEM with the trailing wave.

 

[Turner Team]

Just a question for the mets. Does it look to you like the models are starting to trend towards an earlier phase? And if it does phase alot earlier
what impacts would that have for the upper part of the SE?

 

[jackendrickwx]

we hug (remember icon doesn't show mix ptype)

 

[iGRXY]

Newest RAP coming in still has the front end band showing up.

 

[iGRXY]

storm is continuing here but here are the totals with snow still falling according to the RAP. These are overdone but taking 40-50% off these totals and you end up with 2-5" in a lot of places.

 

[BufordWX]

15z RAP is a front end thump from ATL to places northeast. Lol

 

[jrips27]

I would hazard a guess that Peachtree City may add Forsyth and Cherokee county to the Winter Storm Watch this afternoon. Seems probably we could see 2+ inches of snow in those counties. I’d also bet they throw up a Winter Weather Advisory for right along 20 and everyone else north of 20

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Rap has ATL getting crippling ice lolz

? model

 

[NWMSGuy]

Thinking Memphis will need to expand their Watch area south if these short term models continue to trend south of the TN/MS border.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

I would hazard a guess that Peachtree City may add Forsyth and Cherokee county to the Winter Storm Watch this afternoon. Seems probably we could see 2+ inches of snow in those counties. I’d also bet they throw up a Winter Weather Advisory for right along 20 and everyone else north of 20

They seemed to have hinted at the advisory level stuff for the I-20 corridor in the SWS they issued this morning. Up to 2 inches (their wording) would be advisory criteria.

At this point, I'm thinking that this will be more of a novelty/nuisance for in-town Atlanta. Just can't see it being anything more than that.

 

[weatherfide]

Rap has ATL getting crippling ice lolz

? model

It looks like snow, sleet and freezing rain mix to me. Maybe more sleet than anything.

 

[Metwannabe]

we hug (remember icon doesn't show mix ptype)
View attachment 105445

As @griteater reminded us yesterday over on weathernerds it shows ptypes

Weathernerds ICON

www.weathernerds.org

 

[bigstick10]

They seemed to have hinted at the advisory level stuff for the I-20 corridor in the SWS they issued this morning. Up to 2 inches (their wording) would be advisory criteria.

At this point, I'm thinking that this will be more of a novelty/nuisance for in-town Atlanta. Just can't see it being anything more than that.

I think it is going to much more pronounced than what you are predicting, just my gut feeling.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

I think it is going to much more pronounced than what you are predicting, just my gut feeling.

You very well could be right- will be fun to watch either way.

 

[wxdaniel]

Thinking Memphis will need to expand their Watch area south if these short term models continue to trend south of the TN/MS border.

Rap has ATL getting crippling ice lolz

model

Pretty sure they know what they are doing. Memphis has some of the best veterans at the office.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[NoSnowATL]

G

I would hazard a guess that Peachtree City may add Forsyth and Cherokee county to the Winter Storm Watch this afternoon. Seems probably we could see 2+ inches of snow in those counties. I’d also bet they throw up a Winter Weather Advisory for right along 20 and everyone else north of 20

I think Gwinnett will be today as well.

 

[Nerman]

12Z Canadian

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