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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

Gfs with a healthy front band

gfs_ref_frzn_seus_9.png
 
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Gfs is so much warmer than the other models. Keeps clt right at 31 at the surface the event. Strong warm nose obviously as well
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GFS has the precursor finger in NC..... hmmm
 
Seems like the nam and even the gfs is holding on now to more snow on the northern portion of the storm. Prior runs seemed to over run the entire storm with freezing rain. Anybody know what changed? Haven't dug in yet, probably look closer in the morning.
 
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