NWMSGuy
Member
I'm thinking we will start seeing a lot of Watches being issued in the AM packages.
Our 1st board wide event to track in how many years?
The NAM presentation would be gangbusters for our area should the 500Mb low move even 50 miles southeast of its forecast position as it moves through Ga.I said the same a few days ago. I said we need to watch the ULL closely because in these types of events, models might not have a good handle of how much snow there could be associated with it until close to verification. You can already see models pumping up the snow amounts in MS/AL with the backside comma head and it's looking VERY healthy on the NAM. Lots of vigorous rotation with this upper level low so moisture can definitely wrap around the west of it which would prolong snow.
Nice front end thump on the hrw fv3 View attachment 105264View attachment 105265View attachment 105266
I don't know 3k NAM seemed to have a much more robust CADCAD signature seems to be fading in Georgia with each run
Looks quite warm. In fact it's very similar to the GFS. No icing issues at all for I-20 corridor areas. I don't buy that this model being correct with the surface temperatures. Maybe Augesta and points west escapes with pure rain. However with the amount of wedging in place,I expect some icing issues along I-20 from Aiken and points east towards Florence. The question how much icing for those areas.
CAD signature seems to be fading in Georgia with each run
There are boundary layer issues there.With the H5 look like this, there's no way that should be rain in AL. 540dm cold core low in central AL and it's raining to the north of it LOL. Give me a break.
Yeah. I guess I was referencing some of those crazy NAM and Euro runs from yesterday showing a healthy amount of ZR stretching deep into Atlanta for several hours. I think whats happening is since this system has sped up its not letting the CAD build in as much prior. So like according to the 3K might have a majority of precip fall as rain before a changeover to ZR and then snow. But there’s still a ton of time and wouldn’t be surprised to see the CAD trend stronger and deeper into GA. Things will change.I don't know 3k NAM seemed to have a much more robust CAD