GeorgiaGirl
Member
GFS says yes again for 1/22-23:
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That’s exactly where I want to see a storm at this range, as I said in the banter thread. May still not be far enough south, but it’s a good start.
accu35
Member
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Models are showing some very cold air for a long duration, there's no doubt that 1 or 2 storms will form, plus I wouldn't be shocked if the next couple of runs we see a very huge storm show up once again. The weather is very actived and stormy.
I will just leave this here.
That's what many of us here would like to see. Question is whether the moisture tries to outrun the colder air with that storm.
whatalife
Moderator
It’s a good look and you’d imagine it be colder....Many would be in the game if that look verified.
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I would expect a bigger system if all the energy gets together correctly.
But main thing is their is a storm signal. ??
sigwx
Member
If the CFS is right that would mean a back loaded winter which was discussed in Nov. and the cliff divers will come back and say we knew it all a long
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Wow GEFS looks really good for 1/20, think that's the best it has looked with me looking at it. Let's see how it goes from there.
#LakesLow
packfan98
Moderator
There are going to be some monster storms on the 18 GEFS members in a few minutes...
Chattownsnow
Member
Yeah I'm looking at them roll in and its at hr252 for me right now. It's going to be a pretty substantial snow mean. More than any previous mean by a good bit.
Gottta watch it. If that wave breaks in two, it could definitely produce.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Since I don't have good GEFS maps to share (mostly all the ensembles), on to the FV3 for me. It says yes to both 1/20 and 1/22 being interesting. In fact, I think it shows what Arcc just mentioned about the wave breaking in two, it just starts getting organized a bit late. It also shows what the battleground "could" end up being with 1/22. The energy gets it's act together much quicker, so while it's a SE winter storm, it's much more of a North AL/Tennessee/Far North GA event so far as it's depicted.
Maps:
Maps:
18z GEFS mean it’s beautiful!!!!! I wonder if this has been on of the best ones ever???
Jessy89
Member
That low looks to far north into Georgia need to be a little further south
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Storm5
Member
NoSnowATL
Member
GeorgiaGirl
Member
It was that way on the FV3 because the energy got organized much quicker than in previous runs. It needs to get organized slower. Not so slow that it's strung out but slow enough that the LP is further south.
whatalife
Moderator
sigwx
Member
That would hit board wide except for Phil
Pretty please?Here’s a closer view.
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Too soon to worry about the low pressure placement. There are a lot of nice pieces coming together finally.
Winter Storm
Member
OH MY!!!
SnowNiner
Member
Admittedly, that's the best I've seen in a while. Can't see the individual members, but I'd think it's the 22-27 time frame that has a bunch of hits. I'm keeping an eye on that time frame after MLK for sure.
If I had to make a guess, I think this is how it is going to happen at the moment.
The first storm which will bring a pattern change to us will bring a threat to the mid south. Then right on it’s heel the 2nd storm will bring the Deep South/Mid south a threat.
The first storm which will bring a pattern change to us will bring a threat to the mid south. Then right on it’s heel the 2nd storm will bring the Deep South/Mid south a threat.
Storm5
Member
I was gonna wait till Monday but I can’t . All my 2019 winter chips are now in the middle for January 20-25th. Ride or die
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Attachments
Winter Storm
Member
Winter Storm
Member
I was gonna wait till Monday but I can’t . All my 2019 winter chips are now in the middle for January 20-25th. Ride or die
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Fire up the thread?? I will do it if you want since I was first to call it, when everyone else was on the bottom of the cliff. ....LOL.I was gonna wait till Monday but I can’t . All my 2019 winter chips are now in the middle for January 20-25th. Ride or die
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LetItSnow
Member
Still have a bit of room on the credit cards for even more if this turns to crap so what the heck, I'll join you with an all-in..I was gonna wait till Monday but I can’t . All my 2019 winter chips are now in the middle for January 20-25th. Ride or die
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I'll take e1 please!Here’s a closer view.
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ALL IN!!!!
Jon
Member
Exactly! Absolutely too soon to worry about any kind of storm track. These models are jumping all over the with the shortwave, especially with the second system, which will change the low placement drastically.
Look at the drastic changes at the s/w energy location run to run, not to mention the northern stream...
Eventually there will be an Op run that has this shortwave going neutral to negative tilt in the SE, obliterating the board with a large snowstorm....and everyone will freak out, but for now it’s positive tilt and doesn’t get going, just slides out to sea.
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sigwx
Member
Please wait until at least Monday
Storm5
Member
Thread ? Heck no we don’t even have a specific threat yet .
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pcbjr
Member
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
And with the multiple possibilities showing up for the 20th onward, it might be easier just to have a thread for the whole week when we start one instead of having to go back and forth between multiple threads.