Pattern Jammin' January

[Brick Tamland]

Isn't going to take a lot to force these 925s down. Its interesting that 2014 is mentioned as a top analog and we had a big wind event on 1/11 that had an 86 mph gust at RDU. That event started the step down to about 4-5 weeks of glory

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I remember that well. There was a lot of tree damage on Hwy 98 not too far from me.

 

[Tarheel1]

Lol I'm not surprised, your layout is really nice btw. Yeah I saved this image at the time and it's one of the cleanest shots I could get of the LES band

Here's an animation of the band (also so others here can enjoy this extremely rare event).

Looks like some virga might have developed in far northern Wake County around 9z-10z from training over Lake Kerr and Falls Lake so you were very close to getting a few flakes but light-moderate snow fell for about 2-3 hours in parts of Nash & Wilson counties!

We had a real cold outbreak in Jan of 96, there was Lake Effect off of Lake Hartwell

 

[deltadog03]

I think this is important to remember . Sure everyone wants a big storm with a foot of snow . But a few inches followed by days of brutal cold can be far more impactful and in fact is my preference when it comes to winter storms


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No doubt and this isn’t a dig at anyone, but a 1-3 or 2-4” snow followed by a super flash freeze would be super nasty for everyone because I would imagine we will hear the “ ground temps are too warm or it’s been warm lately no travel issues expected “.

 

[Stormlover]

GFS is running...cheers to all staying up for the Euro.

 

[tennessee storm]

GFS is running...cheers to all staying up for the Euro.

I will be up

 

[Jessy89]

Gonna see gfs then bed


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[NCSNOW]

We had a real cold outbreak in Jan of 96, there was Lake Effect off of Lake Hartwell

Suprised it hasnt happened more with that lake just because topography around it should give quicker buoyancy to the warm ,moist air. There probably has been a case of it at fontana lake as well before. Envy the LES residents .

 

[BufordWX]

Hour 180 on 00z Icon.

 

[Storm5]

Hour 180 on 00z Icon.View attachment 11798

Yep just brutal

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[1300m]

Hour 180 on 00z Icon.View attachment 11798

It also gets cyclogenesis going offshore and tries to throw a little moisture back into the Carolinas.

 

[deltadog03]

It also gets cyclogenesis going offshore and tries to throw a little moisture back into the Carolinas.

View attachment 11800

It’s been a long time since have seen this much potential in the models.

 

[Storm5]

Cmc has some snow for parts of the southeast along the arctic front next Saturday


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[TheBatman]

I see the cold building up better at hour 126 in Canada.

 

[Storm5]

Midweek system still looks good for Tennessee


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[TheBatman]

Here comes the artic soon. This is hour 138.

 

[TheBatman]

Here comes the artic at hour 150.

 

[Storm5]

Here come the hounds

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[Storm5]

Looks like the core of the cold is gonna be further east in Southern Canada this run


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[Storm5]

PV definitely gonna be further NE this run

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[TheBatman]

A clipper low??