Just was wondering. The 500mb flow doesn't look too suppressed or have such a steep gradient that it shears waves out. If anything most pieces are in line at that time frame for the goods
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The icon tried to clear the main system and get crazy with the trailing upper level energy
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looks like another new look on 00z gfs for weekend storm....
Looks like the wrap snow gets down into Arkansas. Looking similar to the euro.
NWMSGuy
Member
Is that more seperation happening at hour 90 compared to previous run?
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12z EURO.....00z NAM.....00z GFS.....
yes it is
Fountainguy97
Member
This energy won’t be moving into the US until Thursday afternoon. Plenty of time for shifts.
last 24 hours of GFS (5 runs worth) some pretty good changes. Now, I DO think most of us see all rain from weekend storm, BUT I am ok with that...I would like to see this get as strong as it can and help us for the next wave next week..... The other point is, and MANY have said this already today...and every day....the models are still ALL over the place...
Fountainguy97
Member
Watch gefs members tonight. If we have increasing members showing this trend it’s game on
EastAtlwx
Meteorologist
interesting to see how much of a difference that makes in terms of temperature anomalies, warmer for next week with less interaction.
00z cmc is has completely flipped its look for middle to late next week . No shock there should be a fun run
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Philstorm91
Member
HP behind the first system on the 19th and 20th isn't as strong or as south driving as the last few runs on the 0z gfs
We would all roll the dice with this look next week
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00z cmc
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Well hello beautiful. I have missed you.
cyclogent
Member
The GFS lol...couple days of runs where the HP on Sunday at 12z is consistently centered over eastern South Dakota, now the 0z run its 500 miles northeast in western Ontario. That why it not as cold Sunday/Monday down here. With that big of a shift, I would trust NOTHING the GFS shows.
It’s Insanity!! All hell is about to break loose! It’s sad that we have to one-up the next person with extreme dramatic tweets and hyperbolic descriptions of things. Why can’t it just be that the ensembles are showing a very cold and potentially stormy pattern setting up? In the end, that’s far more likely to turn out closer to reality than insanity and mayhem!!!11!1
Snowman63
Member
Not that it will matter much, but the 0Z NAM is much colder at hr 84 than the GFS at hr 84.