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Pattern Jammin' January

Storm5 said:
My area can do very well with apps runners and inland runners. I’m no longer hunting a suppressed track . It’s mid January and the clock it ticking . I’ll take a score anyway I can get it


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Yeah as long as you get enough cold on the backside then there’s a shot here.
 
It seems for every bad gefs ensemble run we have 2 to 3 good ones which seems to make me think with those odds we have a good shot at a winter storm over a lot of the Deep South
 
Storm may have posted earlier. The 6z GEFS snowfall is simply amazing. Best run yet.
2" ensemble mean all the way down to Jackson MS and nearly to Montgomery AL.
6" plus for 75% of TN. Woof woof


GEFSSE_prec_meansnacc_384.png

GEFSSE_prec_snens_384.png
 
cyclogent said:
Storm may have posted earlier. The 6z GEFS snowfall is simply amazing. Best run yet.
2" ensemble mean all the way down to Jackson MS and nearly to Montgomery AL.
6" plus for 75% of TN. Woof woof


GEFSSE_prec_meansnacc_384.png

GEFSSE_prec_snens_384.png
Click to expand...
E5 is a solid hit for lower MS Valley

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These ensemble runs got me in a really good mood for the deep South especially in central Alabama... You can't be mad about what it's showing so far consistently... Our pattern change is definitely coming so expect more swings in the models for the better guys
 
I'm enjoying every post this morning, this is the kinda stuff I sit back and learn from the best. It's amazing how even 6z gfs OP run this morning didn't show a winter storm, but the ens our consistent with showing something special. Me for one I'm getting excited because our chances are pretty high ATM, and it's a matter of time where something will show again and more consistent.
 
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This was the ensembles of the GFS last year before the arctic plunges. Just a story of caution as I ended up with literally 0 inches of snow.B2D170E8-2020-4EE9-AC56-EDE3A9060BC2.pngThis is Webber’s map of what actually happened during this period. FBBD752A-3F2B-4CEE-90EC-1D03DD4A97FD.png

Just goes to show you the potential but even this far out ensembles are not gospel either. patients folks, patients.
 
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Chattownsnow said:
This was the ensembles of the GFS last year before the arctic plunges. Just a story of caution as I ended up with literally 0 inches of snow. This is Webber’s map of what actually happened during this period.View attachment 11212This is Webber’s map of what actually happened during this period. View attachment 11213

Just goes to show you the potential but even this far out ensembles are not gospel either. patients folks, patients.
Click to expand...
I'll take my chances
 
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