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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Yeah that was the best ensemble run I've seen with respect to pressing the storm track / height field to the SE...need more of that though

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Snow means never come early in the SE .. almost every time..

Key is finding the cold air and the pattern that can support the winter weather. Then as you get closer is when you see things really start to perk up. That’s just how it goes. No need to panic lol..

Also this is before February .. and February I believe an even better pattern could be on the horizon.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Snow means never come early in the SE .. almost every time..

Key is finding the cold air and the pattern that can support the winter weather. Then as you get closer is when you see things really start to perk up. That’s just how it goes. No need to panic lol..

Also this is before February .. and February I believe an even better pattern could be on the horizon.
Click to expand...

This is especially true when it comes to overrunning events, like what we may see around mid-month.
 
Webberweather53 said:
This is especially true when it comes to overrunning events, like what we may see around mid-month.
Click to expand...
You know looking at some of the event maps on your site, I can remember that a number of those southern slider/overrunning events occurred when there was no mention of snow by local mets until 1-2 days prior to the storm. 12/22-23/1993 is one example of that and more recently the 2/12-13/2010 storm was forecast to be nothing but a chance of flurries until 12 hours before the event started.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
we have ourselves a solid pattern coming up. But the weeklies just ran and I had to post this View attachment 140447
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Brief reshuffling around Jan 23-24 ish then we see the classic February Nino pattern appear w/ +PNA and a -NAO. Bulk of the warm-up in that time probably centered over New England
 
Chazwin said:
You know looking at some of the event maps on your site, I can remember that a number of those southern slider/overrunning events occurred when there was no mention of snow by local mets until 1-2 days prior to the storm. 12/22-23/1993 is one example of that and more recently the 2/12-13/2010 storm was forecast to be nothing but a chance of flurries until 12 hours before the event started.
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I think the February 12-13, 2010 storm was the same storm that model guidance kept suppressing the slp down to Cuba until about 48-72 hrs prior. I remember that was my early days of participating on weather forums. I think I was following/tracking that event on the Accuweather or Eastern/AmWx forums back then. Memory is kinda fuzzy outside of the meltdowns that happened over those suppressed model runs. ??
 
Weatherlover92 said:
I think the February 12-13, 2010 storm was the same storm that model guidance kept suppressing the slp down to Cuba until about 48-72 hrs prior. I remember that was my early days of participating on weather forums. I think I was following/tracking that event on the Accuweather or Eastern/AmWx forums back then. Memory is kinda fuzzy outside of the meltdowns that happened over those suppressed model runs. ??
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I remember that early in the week, the models were keeping most of the moisture along the I-10 corridor and south. Even still both JB and Frank Strait at Accu-weather were adamant in their blogs blogs and videos that it would end up being an I-40 to I-20 Storm which they ended up being right.
 
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