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Pattern Jammin January 2024

I think it's safe to say,
The drought is over...
I only need between 1.25 -1.50 rest of January to have 8+ for the second month in a row. That 4.1 in one day earlier this month did the trick.
Was thinking with 16 inches of qpf for Dec and Jan using a 10:1 ratio. MBY has had a shot at 160 inches of snow. And to date I have zilch to show for it. Swing and a miss all 160 inches so far.
 
I only need between 1.25 -1.50 rest of January to have 8+ for the second month in a row. That 4.1 in one day earlier this month did the trick.
Was thinking with 16 inches of qpf for Dec and Jan using a 10:1 ratio. MBY has had a shot at 160 inches of snow. And to date I have zilch to show for it. Swing and a miss all 160 inches so far.
You'd have bet huge bets that with all the below normal temps
(save the last 3 days) & above normal precip that at least one nominal event would've happened NW of 85.
?‍♂️?
 
Had an awesome first experience with some sea fog today. Left my house it was 84 degrees. As we approached the beach about 10 miles inland still we could see the fog bank. As we drove into it the temp crashed all the way down to 62 and at times we couldn't see the houses alone the beach while on the beach. It was quite a sight.Screenshot_20240126_182755_Gallery.jpgScreenshot_20240126_182708_Gallery.jpgScreenshot_20240126_181512_Gallery.jpg
 
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We've got a shot at 13 inches for the month in the Upstate.View attachment 143502View attachment 143504
nervous-clap.gif
 
IMG_9415.jpegSnow #29 for the winter. Most have been rabbit trackers except for the 2 large snows last week
 
Snow #29 for this winter underway this morning in Western NC. Warnings and advisories up

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON
EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow precipitation expected. Total snow
accumulations of 2 to 6 inches at elevations of 3500 to 4500
feet, and 6 to 9 inches above 4500 feet. Winds will gust 40 to
50 mph.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 4
inches, 6 inches possible in the highest elevations. Winds
gusting as high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Avery County.

* WHEN...From noon today to noon EST Monday.
 
Snow #29 for this winter underway this morning in Western NC. Warnings and advisories up

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON
EST MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow precipitation expected. Total snow
accumulations of 2 to 6 inches at elevations of 3500 to 4500
feet, and 6 to 9 inches above 4500 feet. Winds will gust 40 to
50 mph.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 4
inches, 6 inches possible in the highest elevations. Winds
gusting as high as 55 mph.

* WHERE...Avery County.

* WHEN...From noon today to noon EST Monday.
Been a banner of a winter already in higher elevations. You love to see it
 
Looks like most stations near Atlanta and through the western carolinas are still below normal for the month. I am very sure I remember several posters telling me that couldnt happen.
Yes, I was one of those that thought the warm spell would bring up our average. I was wrong and it did not. I'm still solidly below average this month and will most definitely finish about 4 to 5 degrees below normal.

What will Feb temps look like, I wonder?
 
Yes, I was one of those that thought the warm spell would bring up our average. I was wrong and it did not. I'm still solidly below average this month and will most definitely finish about 4 to 5 degrees below normal.

What will Feb temps look like, I wonder?
Sad that we are going to be welll below normal with much much above normal in Jan and still can't snow.
 
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Sad that we are going to be will below normal with much much above normal in Jan and still can't snow.
We realistically, just missed by about 500 miles to our west here in January. That could have been our storm that broke the snow drought here. It was close. It's not unusual at all to go below normal in temps and not snow. We can go above normal in temps AND score a significant snow, too. Snow in the deep south is just rare no matter what conditions persist.
 
We realistically, just missed by about 500 miles to our west here in January. That could have been our storm that broke the snow drought here. It was close. It's not unusual at all to go below normal in temps and not snow. We can go above normal in temps AND score a significant snow, too. Snow in the deep south is just rare no matter what conditions persist.
I understand.
My childhood & even 20's - 40's self remembers differently but apparently I was born during or shortly after a mini ice age for the Western Carolinas & NE Ga region.
One thing is certain it has been very bad the past 5-9 years this area.
 
Temps in Jan. With the blowtorch for first half of Feb it’s another AN winter.

View attachment 144308

Seeing that river of cold January just faceplant in TN before it gets to the carolinas, shame. Hopefully we can get one week in February that will come east and give us a storm. I don't need March, just one solid cold and stormy week in February, dang it. Lol.
 
15 inches of liquid for January at 3000feet elevation on the NC/SC border, with below normal temp mean for the month. And they maybe saw a few northwest flow flurries break containment?

What are the odds of that?

Screen Shot 2024-01-31 at 9.45.04 AM.png
 
1706751814132.png

Average high: 49.9F
Average Low: 32.2F
Rain: 11.3"
Snow: T
 

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Every day in january for Raleigh.

Climatological Data for Raleigh Area, NC (ThreadEx) - January 2024
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
DateTemperatureHDDCDDPrecipitationNew SnowSnow Depth
MaximumMinimumAverageDeparture
2024-01-01533745.02.82000.000.00
2024-01-02513141.0-1.12400.000.00
2024-01-03562842.00.02300.010.00
2024-01-04512940.0-1.9250T0.00
2024-01-05482536.5-5.32800.000.00
2024-01-06583345.53.71900.850.00
2024-01-07574149.07.31600.000.00
2024-01-08513141.0-0.72400.000.00
2024-01-09684154.512.91001.520.00
2024-01-10543745.53.9190T0.00
2024-01-11603145.53.91900.000.00
2024-01-12653148.06.51701.000.00
2024-01-13653650.59.0140T0.00
2024-01-14592944.02.52100.000.00
2024-01-15513543.01.5220T0.00
2024-01-16402733.5-8.03100.200.00
2024-01-17401829.0-12.63600.000.00
2024-01-18542439.0-2.6260T0.00
2024-01-19543243.01.42200.010.00
2024-01-20342228.0-13.73700.000.00
2024-01-21421830.0-11.73500.000.00
2024-01-22522036.0-5.82900.000.00
2024-01-23523242.00.22300.010.00
2024-01-24734659.517.650T0.00
2024-01-25706467.025.0020.130.00
2024-01-26746067.024.9020.020.00
2024-01-27705361.519.3300.420.00
2024-01-28684657.014.7800.050.00
2024-01-29594150.07.61500.000.00
2024-01-30553042.50.02200.000.00
2024-01-31483843.00.42200.230.00
Sum17321066--61544.450.0-
Average55.934.445.13.2----0.0
Normal51.931.841.9-71803.432.6-
 
The columns dont line up right. Far right is snow depth, 2nd to right is daily snow, and third to right is daily precip
 
Every day in january for Raleigh.

Climatological Data for Raleigh Area, NC (ThreadEx) - January 2024
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
MaximumMinimumAverageDeparture
DateTemperatureHDDCDDPrecipitationNew SnowSnow Depth
2024-01-01533745.02.82000.000.00
2024-01-02513141.0-1.12400.000.00
2024-01-03562842.00.02300.010.00
2024-01-04512940.0-1.9250T0.00
2024-01-05482536.5-5.32800.000.00
2024-01-06583345.53.71900.850.00
2024-01-07574149.07.31600.000.00
2024-01-08513141.0-0.72400.000.00
2024-01-09684154.512.91001.520.00
2024-01-10543745.53.9190T0.00
2024-01-11603145.53.91900.000.00
2024-01-12653148.06.51701.000.00
2024-01-13653650.59.0140T0.00
2024-01-14592944.02.52100.000.00
2024-01-15513543.01.5220T0.00
2024-01-16402733.5-8.03100.200.00
2024-01-17401829.0-12.63600.000.00
2024-01-18542439.0-2.6260T0.00
2024-01-19543243.01.42200.010.00
2024-01-20342228.0-13.73700.000.00
2024-01-21421830.0-11.73500.000.00
2024-01-22522036.0-5.82900.000.00
2024-01-23523242.00.22300.010.00
2024-01-24734659.517.650T0.00
2024-01-25706467.025.0020.130.00
2024-01-26746067.024.9020.020.00
2024-01-27705361.519.3300.420.00
2024-01-28684657.014.7800.050.00
2024-01-29594150.07.61500.000.00
2024-01-30553042.50.02200.000.00
2024-01-31483843.00.42200.230.00
Sum17321066--61544.450.0-
Average55.934.445.13.2----0.0
Normal51.931.841.9-71803.432.6-
I would say that pretty much all and if not more of that 3.2 above average is from the 24-28th. Without that, RDU probably ends up slightly below average for the month.
 
KPDK
Average High: 51.5F
Average Low: 31.7F
Departure: -.7F

KFTY
Average High: 52.6F
Average Low: 32.3F
Departure: -1.1F

KATL
Average High: 53.5F
Average Low: 35.1F
Departure: -.5
 
KPDK
Average High: 51.5F
Average Low: 31.7F
Departure: -.7F

KFTY
Average High: 52.6F
Average Low: 32.3F
Departure: -1.1F

KATL
Average High: 53.5F
Average Low: 35.1F
Departure: -.5
Well I got 1/3 right. I nailed the temp departure for KATL. I was predicting -0.5 BN I was 1 inch too low on the precip. I would have been right on the mark if I stuck with my initial prediction of 6.4 inches.??‍♂️?
ATL
Temps: -0.5
Precip: 5.40 in.
Snow: 2.2 in.
 
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