JB, on past storms and analogues, and going forward...
This is in no way to say they are the same They are to say if you can get all the similarities and blend them all, its worth just as much of your time as arguing if the vortex is going to split or models playing ping pong with your heart. Take it from someone who has wasted to much time on the latter, Never used the former method as when it split, it was already cold. Of course, this year, since I think mid Feb to Mid March relative to averages will be the coldest part of winter in the east, I guess the current split will be argued to be the pre cursor. One problem though the two major outbreaks ( assuming the other occurs) share the warming in common, not the splitting
If the worst of this current outbreak when the smoke clears is over over Nebraska. I think the next one will be over New Jersey
This is in no way to say they are the same They are to say if you can get all the similarities and blend them all, its worth just as much of your time as arguing if the vortex is going to split or models playing ping pong with your heart. Take it from someone who has wasted to much time on the latter, Never used the former method as when it split, it was already cold. Of course, this year, since I think mid Feb to Mid March relative to averages will be the coldest part of winter in the east, I guess the current split will be argued to be the pre cursor. One problem though the two major outbreaks ( assuming the other occurs) share the warming in common, not the splitting
If the worst of this current outbreak when the smoke clears is over over Nebraska. I think the next one will be over New Jersey
