Pattern Jammin January 2024

[CaryWx]

Webb said on twitter back at the beginning of Jan that he expected big dog potential beginning of February or a little after. Is that what your thinking as well?

 

[Chazwin]

Webb said on twitter back at the beginning of Jan that he expected big dog potential beginning of February or a little after. Is that what your thinking as well?

Well it’s hard to argue with Webb considering how good he’s been the last several years. He was dead on about the way that really good pattern developed and progressed in 2022 and the crap fest that we saw last year. I think just based on climo, yes we’re setting up to have big storm potential once we hit early February. I will caution though that big storm potential may very well be ice/mixed bag

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Well it’s hard to argue with Webb considering how good he’s been the last several years. He was dead on about the way that really good pattern developed and progressed in 2022 and the crap fest that we saw last year. I think just based on climo, yes we’re going to have big storm potential once we hit early February.

do you think it could be severe weather potential in February ?

 

[Bham 99]

do you think it could be severe weather potential in February ?

In an El nino of course. I know you know that.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

In an El nino of course. I know you know that.

I was just wondering if severe weather or snow was more likely in February

 

[Bham 99]

I was just wondering if severe weather or snow was more likely in February

Both most likely.

 

[POWERSTROKE]

Lets supose 18z GFS is right. Well its no secret we warm up jan 21-28. Hate to be the bad news guy and Brick is gonna hate this. But 21st,22cnd are seasonable almost with highs in low to mid 50's.
23rd-27th it rains on an off non stop per gfs. Then it exits and leaves everyone with a perfectly parked Cad HP. "Enjoy the wx, its the only wx you got"

The man with that quote has said that for weeks. Warms up and then reloads. We shall see

 

[Tarheel1]

Y’all don’t fear, euro weeklies , hour 890, looking line a banger!

 

[$alt]

Hey that 15,000 hour euro looks like how things are unfolding tonight with the Wintry weather in the SE. I will believe it.

Those grey colors are just model noise. They aren't there/.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We are so back

 

[Chazwin]

We are so back View attachment 142350View attachment 142351View attachment 142352View attachment 142353

You know what even that is following along with what Webb said a week or so ago. He said that when we have the brief warm up, except to see the biggest warm anomalies over the Northeast and Great Lakes

 

[Stevo24]

You know what even that is following along with what Webb said a week or so ago. He said that when we have the brief warm up, except to see the biggest warm anomalies over the Northeast and Great Lakes

And then followed by…..??

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS ? let’s melt away that snow in Miss and Tennessee, and let’s roast the weenies away ? 582dm on a ens mean already for NC

 

[Rain Cold]

We are so back View attachment 142350View attachment 142351View attachment 142352View attachment 142353

It's a good thing we have fresh snowpack to our northwest, so at least it won't feel that warm!

 

[accu35]

We are so back View attachment 142350View attachment 142351View attachment 142352View attachment 142353

I’m sure after this week and next some will be ready for spring lol

 

[superjames1992]

Y’all don’t fear, euro weeklies , hour 890, looking line a banger! View attachment 142343View attachment 142344

2” mean here for basically the rest of winter. That’s pretty bleak, not that it means anything really.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GEFS ? let’s melt away that snow in Miss and Tennessee, and let’s roast the weenies away ? 582dm on a ens mean already for NC View attachment 142359View attachment 142360View attachment 142361

Might be time to piss on the fire and call in the dogs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This pattern is not great honestly. Even with the -NAO, it’s progressive because the western ridge has weaknesses, and the big TPV above

 

[Storm5]

00z gfs best run yet for northern bama Thursday night widespread 1-3

 

[CaryWx]

Guess we can dump looking at the long range models for awhile?