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Pattern Jammin January 2024

RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
GSP

Temps +1.6
Precip 4.5
Snow 4.1
Click to expand...
So how do I have above average temps and almost a seasons worth of snow in the same month? I haven't seen enough evidence to be confident that beautiful 500mb pattern translates to the surface during the 1st week of Jan. I'd say slighly below average the 1st 10 days. Sure it's possible to snow but I'm not betting much on that. Then its so common to have a Jan thaw mid month. If that comes in a -PNA and SER combo as some think we may torch since we're so good at that. We may be +2-3 by the end of the 3rd week of Jan. After that we may get a legit cold source and a big storm the last 7-10 days of the month to bring temps back closer to normal. I'd love to be wrong and be -5 for the month and 6-8 inches of snow but I doubt it
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
So how do I have above average temps and almost a seasons worth of snow in the same month? I haven't seen enough evidence to be confident that beautiful 500mb pattern translates to the surface during the 1st week of Jan. I'd say slighly below average the 1st 10 days. Sure it's possible to snow but I'm not betting much on that. Then its so common to have a Jan thaw mid month. If that comes in a -PNA and SER combo as some think we may torch since we're so good at that. We may be +2-3 by the end of the 3rd week of Jan. After that we may get a legit cold source and a big storm the last 7-10 days of the month to bring temps back closer to normal. I'd love to be wrong and be -5 for the month and 6-8 inches of snow but I doubt it
Click to expand...
The SE ridge is not usually a feature seen in El-Nino winters.
 
GSP
AVL
Charlotte
RDU
All 200-300% above normal for Jan snow fall.
Temps avg -8 below normal thanks to a snowpack for a good portion of Jan.

Dream Big
At least one storm dumps Snow from Dallas to ATL to the Carolinas & Virginia.

It's Miller Time
Back to the 1970's & 1980's here we come.
 
KATL past ten Januarys

A 2014 type January is just to hard to even fathom with how bad the past five years have been.

2023: +6.9
2022: -0.3
2021: +1.4
2020: +4.4
2019: +1.1
2018: -4.4
2017: +7.2
2016: -2.4F
2015: -1.7F
2014: -7.8F
 
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