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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Yeah and honestly I think that's hurting us more than helping us. I bet if it was 20 degrees we would have gotten 10 inches... There's still a big question mark about how long it takes to overcome the dry air
I'm sure your ratios will be really good.
 
I'm sure your ratios will be really good.

I mean there's still some members that if it can really snow right away we could get 4-5 inches. I've heard it's going to be heavy snow but yeah it's just when does that happen. Some of the models also have basically a dusting so who knows

It's gonna be a super dry snow too so probably a lot of blowing and drifting
 
I thought it was supposed to warm up after the artic blast this week.
The pattern relaxes after next weekend for a few days as everything reshuffles. However you can already see on the ensembles what happens around the 26th-28th as the western ridge builds up. This pattern progression has been following right on what Webb has been saying.
 
It will but not until ~23rd or so and then only for a few days. Maybe not even a week. It won't be 70 though I don't think. I will then get cold with a +pna to end the month heading into Feb
Yeah looking at the heights it doesn’t look like we make any runs at 70. We might get into the 60s a couple days,
 
It will but not until ~23rd or so and then only for a few days. Maybe not even a week. It won't be 70 though I don't think. It will then get cold with a +pna to end the month heading into Feb
I think we could sneak in a 70-75 on the 25th or 26th the flow might come right from the Yucatan but there's going to be so much recycled polar/arctic air around that a warm return flow for us may only get us into the upper 60s
 
Yeah looking at the heights it doesn’t look like we make any runs at 70. We might get into the 60s a couple days,
and Webb has been spot on pretty much this month.

We get the +pna, blocking (-nao) and a favorable mjo I'll take my changes with a weakened nino and active stj
 
The pattern relaxes after next weekend for a few days as everything reshuffles. However you can already see on the ensembles what happens around the 26th-28th as the western ridge builds up. This pattern progression has been following right on what Webb has been saying.
Will there be any short warm ups in Feb or too early to tell?
 
Some of the best snows in recorded history for GA, SC, and NC have occurred in February with some being well late in the month. In fact, February is generally the month when certain areas of the generalized region (such as my own) score if it's going to happen. It is absolutely not too late for it to snow at any point during the next month.
 
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