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Pattern Jammin January 2024

wow said:
This one has more potential than the Jan 15 wave. Watch this wave entering the SW.. needs to trend stronger, more consolidated, and kick out faster to allow a western ridge to build up. With a trough east of HI that should force a downstream ridge to build over the SW so it's plausible.

That would allow a stronger gulf low to develop. You will see precip breaking out over TX, AR, LA, then really get going when the PJ wave starts dropping in.
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Must be legit when Wow makes an appearance
 
Picked up 1.5 yesterday. Sitting plus side of 6.5 for January qpf. On top of 8+ in December.

January temps are 0.5 BN , never got on AN plus side after our recent warm spell. Gonna take a dip by a couple degrees after this weeks cold snap gets calculated in. Dec was plus 2.3 AN.
Start second half winter this week. Hopefully the snow drought gets erased
 
This would be an incredible and historic week for the areas from Northern MS to N Alabama through all of TN if this happens on top on next week's storm. It would be a week of legitimate winter weather, not just relative to southern standards. Hard to watch from the Carolinas and GA; makes it feel too much like Feb 21. But man, surely February gonna be our month!
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
This would be an incredible and historic week for the areas from Northern MS to N Alabama through all of TN if this happens on top on next week's storm. It would be a week of legitimate winter weather, not just relative to southern standards. Hard to watch from the Carolinas and GA; makes it feel too much like Feb 21. But man, surely February gonna be our month!
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Painful watching from the I-20 corridor as well. Looking like we could miss out on both opportunities, and usually February is a stretch climate Wise in this area. Been a long time since we’ve had a decent snow in Tuscaloosa.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
This would be an incredible and historic week for the areas from Northern MS to N Alabama through all of TN if this happens on top on next week's storm. It would be a week of legitimate winter weather, not just relative to southern standards. Hard to watch from the Carolinas and GA; makes it feel too much like Feb 21. But man, surely February gonna be our month!
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Not sure what you are talking about. This is nothing like Feb '21. Models look pretty good for us here in the NC foothills.
 
We almost bone dry next 10 days on 12 z Globals east of continental divide. Espeacilly Euro. Has 0 qpf. If you melt down this gfs post its only .25.

Im posting gfs total 10 day snow map, as thats the ride I need to take. They all have the cold, or enough on hand to get job done. Its gonna be a moisture issue.

As El nino fades out, as is typical in Feb and its influence wanes, many say we are headed back to La nina for next winter. Reason why theres all time mega Hurricane season hype. Anyway the conical ,Feb is the best month of the 3 when having el nino winters, is a true statemet because the pac firehouse lets off the gas flooding NA with maritime air. But theres a catch in that the STJ spigit decreases as well. Next 10 days are a prime
Example. So its never a slam dunk like some may be interpreting.

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