Less potent vortex this run - does it mean we see the vortex that got squished in Louisiana last run gain latitude
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Not less at 216. If anything it's looking more intense and further south possibly bringing a system in if it doesn't get too suppressed.
underwhelming gfs run, but not something to gnash teeth about imo
that first shortwave looks like a NE/AR/TE deal and nothing else as the vortex tears that wave to shreds
now, the northern stream shortwave, the one rounding the rockies, that certainly has potential. qpf was muted on this run compared to 6z because of a less favorable tilt and broader trough, but still a lot of time left. i could say "wouldn't it be nice" for a lot of things, more digging, stream separation, etc... but it's a weather forum, not a beach boys forum. but that probably is the feature that, if future runs go in our way, elevate this from "potential" to "threat"
that first shortwave looks like a NE/AR/TE deal and nothing else as the vortex tears that wave to shreds
now, the northern stream shortwave, the one rounding the rockies, that certainly has potential. qpf was muted on this run compared to 6z because of a less favorable tilt and broader trough, but still a lot of time left. i could say "wouldn't it be nice" for a lot of things, more digging, stream separation, etc... but it's a weather forum, not a beach boys forum. but that probably is the feature that, if future runs go in our way, elevate this from "potential" to "threat"
Ok you’re comparing the Piedmont to areas that have a considerably higher elevation. The December 2022 Arctic blast was one in every sense even east of the mountains. Much of the NC Piedmont and SC upstate went more than 50 hours below freezing and there were widespread single digit lows on Christmas Eve
W
WSW
Guest
Might be my first actual digital snowfall of the season lol
Call it a gut feel but my sense for this particular pattern (short/temp whatever it turns out to be) next week is best suited (for mby anyway) to produce in the 19th-21st time range if it does do anythingunderwhelming gfs run, but not something to gnash teeth about imo
that first shortwave looks like a NE/AR/TE deal and nothing else as the vortex tears that wave to shreds
now, the northern stream shortwave, the one rounding the rockies, that certainly has potential. qpf was muted on this run compared to 6z because of a less favorable tilt and broader trough, but still a lot of time left. i could say "wouldn't it be nice" for a lot of things, more digging, stream separation, etc... but it's a weather forum, not a beach boys forum. but that probably is the feature that, if future runs go in our way, elevate this from "potential" to "threat"
Gotta watch that one.It's the one the eps really liked.Might be my first actual digital snowfall of the season lol
W
WSW
Guest
W
WSW
Guest
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,415
- Reaction score
- 9,890
GEFS still have some juicy members, like what @TheBatman mentioned, the operational will vary and have different looks.
Ilovesnow28
Member
Hey can you post the GEFS?
W
WSW
Guest
UKMET really dumping out west way more then other models 
UNCSC
Member
2021 here we come
MichaelJ
Member
For those east of the Apps, nothing on the table for at least 15 days at this point. Guys (and gals) Apps west are likely to see a couple of events during this period, Ark, Tn, parts of Ms and Al
ok now this is something to gnash teeth about lol. not great