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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Not being negative, just giving my thoughts on this threat coming next week. I do get 2021 Feb vibes as far as the actual Arctic boundary just struggling for way to long to get East of Apps. You can clearly see that on all model runs. You got to get that boundary in a similar place like Late Jan 2014 for us to score. This looks like a big Winter storm signal for the Mid South & Western Deep South. I think just like Feb 2021, this threat will slowly increase for areas even in Alabama. Wild how the shallow air of these Arctic airmasses just struggle to get into the Southeast. Even with the late Dec 2023 Arctic front, the air was modified compared to areas South & West of the Apps.
 
Mitch West said:
Not being negative, just giving my thoughts on this threat coming next week. I do get 2021 Feb vibes as far as the actual Arctic boundary just struggling for way to long to get East of Apps. You can clearly see that on all model runs. You got to get that boundary in a similar place like Late Jan 2014 for us to score. This looks like a big Winter storm signal for the Mid South & Western Deep South. I think just like Feb 2021, this threat will slowly increase for areas even in Alabama. Wild how the shallow air of these Arctic airmasses just struggle to get into the Southeast. Even with the late Dec 2023 Arctic front, the air was modified compared to areas South & West of the Apps.
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yeah im hoping we can something to make it east of apps before all is said and done
 
Mitch West said:
Not being negative, just giving my thoughts on this threat coming next week. I do get 2021 Feb vibes as far as the actual Arctic boundary just struggling for way to long to get East of Apps. You can clearly see that on all model runs. You got to get that boundary in a similar place like Late Jan 2014 for us to score. This looks like a big Winter storm signal for the Mid South & Western Deep South. I think just like Feb 2021, this threat will slowly increase for areas even in Alabama. Wild how the shallow air of these Arctic airmasses just struggle to get into the Southeast. Even with the late Dec 2023 Arctic front, the air was modified compared to areas South & West of the Apps.
Click to expand...
It may have been modified in Columbia but it certainly wasnt up this way
 
Mitch West said:
If you compare it to places West of the apps, it was. Places in North GA & Eastern TN didn’t get out the single digits for highs..
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That was a function of those places having snow cover, though. We had no snow cover and it was 17 degrees on christmas eve when I was driving through Winston Salem around noon that day which is more impressive imo.
 
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