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Misc Jalapeño July

Storm5 said:
Today is by far the most uncomfortable day of the summer. Holy crap it's miserable outside


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And per the GFS, it doesn't end. Dewpoints in the 70s almost all run long, and even nearly 80 once. Yuck.
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There are plenty of strong storms in south central and southeast Tenn right now heading east-southeast. Northern GA looks to have an active Sat evening in store. Maybe over into upstate SC after 6-7 pm.
 
SD said:
Back from the beach today and back to the reality of 70+ dewpoints ugh

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It's like you brought the beach DP's back to Knightdale, and probably a few crabs!? :(
 
JHS said:
There are plenty of strong storms in south central and southeast Tenn right now heading east-southeast. Northern GA looks to have an active Sat evening in store. Maybe over into upstate SC after 6-7 pm.
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You've lived here long enough, you know they will die out in Pickens or Oconee counties , or sooner! I will be fishing all night, so storms would be welcome !
 
With dewpoints being so ungodly, I guess it's that time of year again to go into hibernation. People up north hibernate in the winter. I hibernate in July and August !
 
Outflow boundary that moved through like 45 minutes ago really crushed the atmosphere ahead of the line . Northern part shrinking fast
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It hasn't hit 90 yet and no 90s forecast through July 15. Could we go the entire summer without hitting 90 ?
 
SoutheastRidge said:
It hasn't hit 90 yet and no 90s forecast through July 15. Could we go the entire summer without hitting 90 ?
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.

ATL's highest this May/June has only been 90. That highest is cooler than average by about 3-4 degrees. The good news if you don't like heat is that there is a decent partial correlation between hottest in May/June and hottest in July-Sept. The average hottest of summer is close to 97. However, based on the hottest in May/June being only 90, the statistical odds modestly favor a hottest in July-Sep under 96. We'll see what happens as that correlation isn't strong enough to actually predict with confidence what the hottest will end up being. But at least there's more hope than normal for no extreme heatwave this summer.
 
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Merely statistical probabilities, but as warm and muggy as today is, this presents a nice notion ...

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Pouring buckets.
pcbjr said:
Merely statistical probabilities, but as warm and muggy as today is, this presents a nice notion ...

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Muggy is definitely what it is right now, I went outside at about 10 am and the humidity was already bad. Rain chances are filling up my forecast again, and it means the mugginess is here to stay for a bit longer. Still only at around 3-6 90+ degree days this year. If we had about 2 degrees higher each day, that number would be probably close to 20 or so by now, or 30.
 
Really liking the idea of Sleeping Bear Dunes and/or the UP right about now ... :cool:

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(except the dadgum "no-see-ums" and the skeeters.....)
 
Another swing and miss for rain imby! :(
 
JHS said:
I think maybe you spoke too soon . That storm should be giving at least some rain now.
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Meh, not yet. Looks like the worst is missing barely to my East. I wanted the hail core and more than a shower
 
Tarheel1 said:
Meh, not yet. Looks like the worst is missing barely to my East. I wanted the hail core and more than a shower
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There's more up in the city of Greenville and out towards Easley now that might move your way. Nothing over my way today, but we did get .65 last night.
 
I wouldn't be opposed to getting some rain. The last 2 days have been hot hot hot

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JHS said:
There's more up in the city of Greenville and out towards Easley now that might move your way. Nothing over my way today, but we did get .65 last night.
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Had about 1/2 inch. Finally a good heavy rain.
 
SD said:
I wouldn't be opposed to getting some rain. The last 2 days have been hot hot hot

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Seems it's always feast or famine now.... I had 3.5" from some slow moving t-storms back around the 20th or 21st, while Cindy was still in the GOM and 12 days later not a drop.
 
I don't think I've ever experienced a summer as rainy as this one, which is in stark contrast to the incredible dryness we had last fall !
 
Dps around 65 here in N Durham which feels much better than low 70s yesterday.


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ATL's average hottest of the May-June period since 1950 has been in the 94-95 range. In 2017, it was only 90. Only 5 since 1950 have had a cooler hottest: 88 in 2003, 89 in 2001, 89 in 1997, 89 in 1973, and 88 in 1961. Three other years had exactly 90: 1972, 1967, and 1965. 91's were the hottest in 2005, 1975, 1974, and 1966. What were the hottest of Jul-Sep for these years?

2005: 94
2003: 92
2001: 93
1997: 95
1975: 96
1974: 92
1973: 92
1972: 94
1967: 90
1966: 96
1965: 92
1961: 92

So, all 12 of these years had the hottest of Jul-Sep of 96 or cooler. The significance of that is that the average hottest of Jul-Sep since 1950 has been near 97. Also, these 12 averaged only 93 for the hottest in Jul-Sep, which is 4 cooler than the average since 1950. That tells me that there is a pretty good correlation between the hottest in May-June and the hottest during the rest of the summer. I suspect that the main reason for this is good soil moisture from late spring/early summer carrying over its cooling influence into mid to late summer. Of course, that also means humidity might average on the higher side.
 
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That is a monster heat ridge on the D10 Euro fortunately we aren't under it

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Strong storms up in NorthWest Georgia moving towards me of course. Hoping it dissipates for once, since the firework show in town is tonight. Had it rain once, but they still had it, but thunderstorms would cancel or delay it.
 
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