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Tropical Hurricane Nate

South AL Wx said:
GFS looks a little stronger inland as well. 991 mb centered near Tuscaloosa at hour 54. And still 994 mb in Jackson County, AL at hour 60.
Click to expand...
If he hits as hurricane, the. He could travel just a bit with hurricane winds before dying down, especially with fast movement
 
Nate's forthcoming forward motion well in excess of 20 mph will definitely become a detriment to rapid intensification, reminiscent of what happens to weak, fragile tropical cyclones over the central Atlantic that are embedded in very stiff trade wind flow and often die as they approach the central Caribbean Graveyard. While Nate almost certainly won't die in this case, the low level diabatic PV will become appreciably tilted due to the rapid forward motion and this could serve to halt further intensification, and allow Nate to evolve into a highly asymmetric tropical cyclone and accelerate its extratropical transition over the southeastern US...
 
Loop I'm talking about
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Nate is moving NNW at ~ 21 mph and is embedded in strong southeasterly flow (~20-25 KT) on the western flank of the CA monsoon gyre, it's questionable how much of the 50 mph sustained winds observed on Nate's eastern side is actually directly attributable to the storm...
 
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