Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Model run down as of 6z 9/9...
GEFS
EPS
GEPS
MOGREPS (UKMET ensemble)
Generally speaking most NWP except Jose to slow down after day 3 once steering currents break down to his north and he will likely miss the initial trough passing to his NE on day 4-5. Thereafter, a ridge builds to his north and he is likely going to lose some latitude and undergo a cyclonic loop. Thereafter, it's very unclear where Jose will be, but this storm is liable to end up much closer to the US as a result of getting trapped underneath the subtropical high, especially in comparison to what was anticipated even a few days ago.... All interests in the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, and eastern US should continue to vigilantly monitor Jose in addition to Irma.
GEFS
EPS
GEPS
MOGREPS (UKMET ensemble)
Generally speaking most NWP except Jose to slow down after day 3 once steering currents break down to his north and he will likely miss the initial trough passing to his NE on day 4-5. Thereafter, a ridge builds to his north and he is likely going to lose some latitude and undergo a cyclonic loop. Thereafter, it's very unclear where Jose will be, but this storm is liable to end up much closer to the US as a result of getting trapped underneath the subtropical high, especially in comparison to what was anticipated even a few days ago.... All interests in the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, and eastern US should continue to vigilantly monitor Jose in addition to Irma.