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Tropical Hurricane Jose (1 Viewer)

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#1
Some of the global models have hinted at this the past few days and given it's the peak of the season w/ the MJO over the eastern hemisphere, I wouldn't be shocked if this also ends up becoming a TC, unfortunately it will be in the shadow of Irma and its future will be dependent on the amount of shear Irma imparts on this and subsequent systems in the eastern MDR... I guess so much for no hurricanes from Sep 7-25 in the Atlantic...

Screen Shot 2017-08-31 at 1.52.44 PM.png
 

metwannabe

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#2
Some of the global models have hinted at this the past few days and given it's the peak of the season w/ the MJO over the eastern hemisphere, I wouldn't be shocked if this also ends up becoming a TC, unfortunately it will be in the shadow of Irma and its future will be dependent on the amount of shear Irma imparts on this and subsequent systems in the eastern MDR... I guess so much for no hurricanes from Sep 7-25 in the Atlantic...

View attachment 1004
Seems I've seen that pinned tweet somewhere.... lol. Yeah no doubt looks crazy busy
 
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#11
2am TWO

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Satellite data
indicate that this system is already producing winds near tropical
storm force. There is a strong likelihood that a tropical depression
or tropical storm
will form within the next few days while the
disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
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#12
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017

...10TH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 39.1W
ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
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#14
While many are transfixed on Irma atm, we can't let our guard down with Jose. NWP models have been making its OTS route more difficult in the past few days...
EPS

AL12_2017090600_ECENS_large.png
Screen Shot 2017-09-06 at 11.49.42 AM.png

12L_geps_latest.png
 

ForsythSnow

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#15
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#16
this may threaten the same islands Irma just wiped out this weekend

NHC has 115 mph not far from Barbuda Saturday
 
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#22
poor islands just hit by Irma

The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
islands of Antigua and Barbuda.
 

WeatherLC

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#29
Serious question though won't there be the same ridge that's affecting irma for Jose? Why does it recurve on most models?
 

GaWx

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#30
I did a double take when I saw this, but many members (nearly half) of the 0Z EPS actually hit the CONUS with Jose (yes, Jose) between 9/16 and 9/22 anywhere from FL to ME! So, we may have to deal with Jose after all in 8-14 days!
 
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