Shaggy
Member
This storm has been a beast when it comes to tornados.
No doubt but hard to blame them when local government was complacent as well. A voluntary evac and a late strengthening storm was a recipe for not taking it serious.From the number of cars in the area, might there have been just a tad bit of complacency? Doesn't look like anyone moved out of the area.
Yep....really worries me when/if a big one comes along....You know how it goes...."We did fine in the cat 1, cat 3 should be a piece of cake".No doubt but hard to blame them when local government was complacent as well. A voluntary evac and a late strengthening storm was a recipe for not taking it serious.
This and the fact the winter time trough was producing tornadoes with unusually high shear for August. After the first one in Western Virginia 2 days prior I knew down East was in for it once it interacted with the hurricane.Honestly you could tell the tornado threat was gonna be legit by the ridiculously high 3CAPE, along with a still somewhat weaker cane meaning low levels would turn a bit more
Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?Not a bad forecast, as it turned out. I haven't seen the wind maps, so I don't know how far west the big wind gusts got. And I think parts of Wake at least got close to 3-4" rain. But those cool wind maps are always way overdone. That's pretty much a lock every time. Like snow maps.
I really don't know, other than the fact that that the algorithm is bad. I don't know how they calculate it, but they are generally always way overdone...usually by half around here.Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?
Yesterday evening it was only 80 on my walk an I was thinking the same thingFeels lowkey like a September day
Hrrrs mixing bias don’t helpI really don't know, other than the fact that that the algorithm is bad. I don't know how they calculate it, but they are generally always way overdone...usually by half around here.
I don’t know how the model output for wind really works, but I wonder if it has to with how real landmasses have a lot of natural impediments to wind - trees, hills, etc.? I don’t know if that’s enough to make a difference, though. Are the wind field maps thus more accurate out in the ocean?Is there any particular reason why the wind maps are always overdone ?