Cary_Snow95
Member
While that is true, the path of the storm over the next 96 hours has massive implications for its overall path. A path south of or over the islands dramatically decreases the chances of a land falling hurricane on the SE coastBrad P. had an excellent VLOG on Facebook. If you haven't taken the time to watch it, I would highly recommend it. Long story short, it's wayyyy too early to look at guidance or try and pinpoint if this thing makes landfall in the U.S. or not. And the lack of commercial airline traffic is causing issues as well for modeling.
I think you’re stirring the pot a little don’t you?One bad thing to note with recurves...they tend to trend west over time esp for systems that far out. Could easily hit Florida or anywhere.
I agree! From the morning runs I would say there was a clear trend for a weaker system. GFS and CMC both backed off the juiced up systems. Which imo was a step towards the Euro. I am very curious to see how this develops over the next 3 days. If it struggles to get stacked quickly it could very well go south of the islands and encounter some hostile conditions.Great trends in the models the last 24 hours. You can't ask for anything much better for now. Let's hope these better trends hold. No reason to worry currently in the SE US about this. Many of us, including myself, have much more worrisome things to deal with right now.