Yeah 0Z ECMWF was a little West of the 12Z run
It brought the center right over Wake County.
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Tropical Hurricane Isaias
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
It brought the center right over Wake County.
12k 06Z NAM is about 3-4 hours faster and a little West of the 00Z run.
Update: NAM has it also coming right over Wake County at hour 57.
Update 2: Add the 3k high resolution NAM model to the list that now has it crossing directly over Wake County.
Update: NAM has it also coming right over Wake County at hour 57.
Update 2: Add the 3k high resolution NAM model to the list that now has it crossing directly over Wake County.
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No longer forecast to become a hurricane, are mods sure they don’t wanna rename title to tropical storm or they be confusion in Carolinas
Flash Flood Watch for Wilkes already for This tropical storm connections
2-4” poss here with higher amounts near blue ridge over 4”
Wilkes ain’t getting 2-4” from a weak TS going over SD and RC, sorry Larry
Wilkes will with trough to the west and TS upslope combination.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
All about that upslope.
Bannerdude
Member
This storm is something else....it went from looking like something you'd throw out with the garbage to developing what looks like a northern eyewall again in less than 2 hours
Seems very vulnerable to dmin and dmax times with intensity flare ups.
If this wasn’t a fast mover this could have been a sig upslope event. But with fast movement, likely gonna be a tornado outbreak Raleigh eastward.
The event actually starts tonight
with upslope according to WPC and Raysweather. A little minimum East of here near upstate SC and Charlotte.
with upslope according to WPC and Raysweather. A little minimum East of here near upstate SC and Charlotte.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
6z HWRF blasts central NC.
Also, tropical storm watches have been issued for Scotland, Hoke, Cumberland, & Sampson counties. Expecting those to get expanded northward pretty soon.
Also, tropical storm watches have been issued for Scotland, Hoke, Cumberland, & Sampson counties. Expecting those to get expanded northward pretty soon.
Shaggy
Member
Here in pitt I may not see much if any wind but will be watching for tornados
How is the East SC looking in terms of radar simulation?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Cary_Snow95
Member
The deep convection firing is once again being disrupted by westerly shear. Evident in the last few frames
@Webberweather53 it looks like it shifted west from 0Z to affect more of SC.
