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Tropical Hurricane Isaias

Webberweather53

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Gotta keep a weary eye on Isias's interaction w/ Andros Island in the Bahamas, frictional convergence w/ the island in the western and southwestern semicircle's of Isaias's circulation could allow the eyewall to close again and lead to a renewed bout of intensification. Already starting to notice the eyewall is beginning to fill in again, gotta watch this closely over the coming hours.
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Downeastnc

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New HMON run keeps the center 100 miles east of Florida and at hr 63 looks like its on track to hit Cape Fear , if this is how it actually plays out then obviously the threat to a stronger bigger storm from say MB to MHX is greater.....
 

SD

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Regardless of intensity qpf looks solid.... @SD you likey likey the Euro

View attachment 45696
Check please. Most models at this point are putting us in the heavy precip or just along the western edge. Have to start feeling somewhat confident in at least 1 inch of rain
 

tramadoc

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I’m just gonna sit back on Monday/Tuesday and day drink (again) while you guys west of me like [mention]metwannabe [/mention] get the brunt of this. I’ll be sitting here in KECG with drizzle and a few gale force gusts.
 

tramadoc

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crankyweatherguy (@crankywxguy) Tweeted:
And this convergent element, even as the system heads extra-tropical around SE Virginia, will give us a pretty strong coastal blow in the UMIDATL/SNE region. (frequent gusts 50s, iso 70 in well timed cells), coastal flooding, heavy rains. Mind the leafed trees/outages (and so on)
 

Downeastnc

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I’m just gonna sit back on Monday/Tuesday and day drink (again) while you guys west of me like [mention]metwannabe [/mention] get the brunt of this. I’ll be sitting here in KECG with drizzle and a few gale force gusts.
The east side and the northern core of this are gonna get slammed, pretty sure on any of these tracks you get smashed up just fine.....the Euro is the most far west model, and I think HMON may be the further east.....and well it goes right over you lol....so it sure looks like NC gonna take a hit the real question is how far off the coast can he stay on his run up the coast and how strong can he get....

This would be a bit breezy where you are....

hmon_ref_09L_24.png
 

tramadoc

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The east side and the northern core of this are gonna get slammed, pretty sure on any of these tracks you get smashed up just fine.....the Euro is the most far west model, and I think HMON may be the further east.....and well it goes right over you lol....so it sure looks like NC gonna take a hit the real question is how far off the coast can he stay on his run up the coast and how strong can he get....

This would be a bit breezy where you are....

View attachment 45704
Yeah, but we know how these things work out. Never like modeled. If it does get bad, hello USAA.
 

Brick Tamland

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6z Euro makes landfall near Charleston, SC & slams central NC.

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Large swath of 3-6"+ of rain across central NC on this run, higher isolated amounts are almost certainly a guarantee if this came to fruition.

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I should have planned my trip to the OBX for earlier next week. The way it is trending west with the track it looks like it is going to be worse here than it will be there.
 
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