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Tropical Hurricane Isaac (1 Viewer)

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#1
Just got designated.
1. A tropical wave located more than 400 miles southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slow development of this disturbance is
possible during the next several days while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
 
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#5
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is
expected, and it could become a tropical depression late this week
or this weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward across
the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 

PEA_RIDGE

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#8
here is the latest track guidance for 92L.. that ECMF if it verifies could be the one to watch as far as getting in the GOM

 
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#10
A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system located
a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is
forecast to move slowly westward to west-northwestward across the
eastern tropical Atlantic for the next several days. Although this
disturbance continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms, environmental conditions are expected to gradually
become conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by late this week or this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
 
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#11
A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of
the Cabo Verde Islands is forecast to move slowly westward to
west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic for the next
several days. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually
become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by late this week or this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 perc
 
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#12
A broad area of low pressure with disorganized cloudiness and
showers is centered a couple of hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to
form by the end of the week while the system moves west-
northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
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#14
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands has become better organized since yesterday. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development,
and a tropical depression is expected to form by the end of the week
while the system moves west-northwestward across the tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 

ForsythSnow

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#16
this thing may be a sleeper with Florence dominating the buzz but the 12z GFS has a strengthening hurricane approaching the Caribbean in a week
Yeah this could be a problem down the road. Unfortunately, it's going to be one of those storms that could develop rapidly and take aim at the Caribbean. Where it will go is a week too early to say.
 
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#17
Fantasy land GFS turns it north east of the Bahamas after going really close to PR and has yet another blocking high at the end of the run
 

ForsythSnow

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#18
Up to 70/90 now.
1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands is gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development,
and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next
couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward across the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
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#19
another Puerto Rico hurricane on the 18z GFS and then into Hispanola

Looks like it then follows Florence once she's OTS
 
Last edited:
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#24
The circulation associated with an area of low pressure centered
several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
remains broad and elongated, and the associated shower and
thunderstorm activity has not yet increased in organization.
However, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and
a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two
while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward across
the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 

pcbjr

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#28
Disdain IMBY stuff, but candidly, this little bugger (92 L ... the lower one) has a few oak trees, and me, slightly concerned ...

two_atl_5d0.png
 
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