Henry2326
Member
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Tropical Hurricane Ida
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Shaggy
Member
Anfgle of approach is gonna pile some serious water up north of the delta as they E wind north of track slams water into that area.
Brent
Member
New Orleans would definitely get the eastern eyewall on that track
"Flight-level and
SFMR observations also indicate that Ida's wind field has expanded
and there is some indication of a double-wind maximum."
First indications of a future eyewall replacement cycle?
Maybe, but the doom-caster in me says the timing is such that it runs out of time to complete the cycle, and instead it comes ashore with concentric eyewalls which would increase impacts to the greater N.O. area since it remains likely the center passes far enough to the west to spare at least the city proper a direct hit from the NE eyewall.
SFMR observations also indicate that Ida's wind field has expanded
and there is some indication of a double-wind maximum."
First indications of a future eyewall replacement cycle?
Maybe, but the doom-caster in me says the timing is such that it runs out of time to complete the cycle, and instead it comes ashore with concentric eyewalls which would increase impacts to the greater N.O. area since it remains likely the center passes far enough to the west to spare at least the city proper a direct hit from the NE eyewall.
Henry2326
Member
10:00 discussion
Yet another tick east on the 00Z ICON.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
That tick east is certainly not boding well for NOLA
Eye becoming clearer on IR as hot towers pop in the eyewall. Definitely go time right on schedule.
Yeah really starting to look like they are going to take a direct hit with the east eyewall, what a nightmare for them
That's very concerning for sure. That slightly more northerly heading this afternoon was not optimal.
I was hoping we would see a little more east shift to save NOLA from the worst hit/angle/approach possible. I just don't see that now. I think this either hits directly over NOLA or they take the eastern eyewall and obviously that isn't good.
Shaggy
Member
My cousin posted this today in Facebook. Bet she hasn't considered lugging groceries up 17 flights of stairs if the elevators arent working due to no power. She is going to regret the decision to not hop on a flight out.
Attachments
What's new is actually old. Camille didn't weaken one bit coming ashore in 69.
DadOfJax
Member
NOLA Webcams?
NOLA gets eastern eyewall IMO, or they maybe punch center. It’s going to close.
It's small, but it will only take a small adjustment east for metro N.O. to take a direct hit from the NE eyewall. It's the ICON, yes, but it's what we have for now.
Crazy how Far East now I think NOLA gets worse side of eye wall wow ?
It’s taken a while to understand and for many they don’t wanna believe it but global warming has caused ocean temps to run much warmer than normal and the waters in the gulf are no different.. the waters everywhere now can support and sustain major hurricane all the way to the coast lines … it used to be only certain areas would have those type of temps but now that expands and warms so the warm spots are warmer giving bigger booms to storms now and the cooler spots now are warm and can sustain those strong storms … IMO of course this is what I think is happening