Tropical Hurricane Ian

[iGRXY]

That double eyewall is absolutely filthy now. This thing really could get down into the 920’s

 

[WeatherNC]

my experience with EWRCs- they look inconclusive in real time but in a few days when they make sped up time lapses of the radar it will look like a textbook EWRC.

While not finished, it was a fairly clean replacement in ~12hrs once complete. Half way through, not good timing for the coast.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Getting very close. You can see the inner eye wall getting absorbed frame by frame

 

[Zander98al]

Southern eyewall velocity's are picking up a good bit with the new eyewall taking hold.

 

[Arcc]

This eye is about to be absolutely massive

And to add insult, larger eyes are much more resistant to dry air.

 

[Zander98al]

And to add insult, larger eyes are much more resistant to dry air.

It's about to make a run for cat 5 here soon.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

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[NickyBGuarantee]

It's about to make a run for cat 5 here soon.

I dont know about Soon usually it’ll take a little once eyewall replacement takes place to continue dropping but I do believe a run at CAT 5 is possible later in the night

 

[Arcc]

Hot towers wrapping new southern eyewall.

 

[Zander98al]

I dont know about Soon usually it’ll take a little once eyewall replacement takes place to continue dropping but I do believe a run at CAT 5 is possible later in the night

You just quoted what I said but basically reworded it ?

 

[FortMillSCWx]

Echoing... previous posts...pretty wild snapshot

 

[Cary_Snow95]

18z Euro

 

[TarHeelSnow]

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

18Z Euro second LF near or just south of Savannah, then rides NW on the SC/GA line.

 

[Arcc]

I don’t think I’ve ever seen that many supercells in a hurricane. That band outside the outer wall is nothing but supercells on the northern side.

 

[Chazwin]

18Z Euro second LF near or just south of Savannah, then rides NW on the SC/GA line.

and it’s at 985mb at that landfall… definitely a landfall as at least a cat 1 hurricane for GA/SC very much on the table

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

SW shear seems to be starting to effect Ian from satellite images I am looking at

 

[WeatherNC]

Yep, we appear to be in strengthening mode again, it may take some time for pressures to start free falling again given we went from a 20NM to a new 30NM eye but its hard not to see him strengthening from here on out. Approaching a major hurricane based on velocities on the north side alone.

 

[Henry2326]

00z Globals
A given of 2nd LF.
Somewhere between Savannah and Charleston.

 

[Chazwin]

00z Globals
A given of 2nd LF.
Somewhere between Savannah and Charleston.

View attachment 122338

View attachment 122339

The UK track from Charleston inland is quite familiar for many of us in the Carolinas. Of course this one wouldn’t be moving at 35mph.