Nerman
Member
GFS & Euro landfall tracks now appear to be in line with the Euro just getting there faster
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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
severestorm
Member
And weaker. Cloud top's are warming compared to this morning. It's obvious Ian's having structural difficulties now.
iGRXY
Member
It’s going through an ERC. This is to be expected
I’m not sure what to think with the inner eyewall regenerating and the moat filling in.
JHS
Member
In the Atlantic on the GFS.
BHS1975
Member
This is the most poorly understood part about hurricanes.
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Wow 18z GFS 2nd Lf southern SC.
JHS
Member
Basically going up the Savannah river on the GFS.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Quite the trend
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Trend is faster for sure
JHS
Member
The center goes into Tennessee on this run.
my experience with EWRCs- they look inconclusive in real time but in a few days when they make sped up time lapses of the radar it will look like a textbook EWRC.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Shaggy
Member
One thing to note about this east trend is the shape of the east coast is similiar to the west coast of Florida in how a small shift can change landfall point. If it goes 40 miles west it hits Savanah but 40 miles east is Charleston or Myrtle Beach. 60 miles east is Wilmington. So small changes can still change big things.
Very similar to the 12z Euro. Also, the pressure at the SC landfall is 988mb still probably a low end category 1.
Pressure 957mb in NW eyewall with 67kt winds, so I'm guessing pressure in center still low 950s. Seems to be holding steady
BHS1975
Member
Looks like he took a gulp of dry air.
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BHS1975
Member
Decent hot tower going up though.
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I’ll take your 950s and raise you 946!Pressure 957mb in NW eyewall with 67kt winds, so I'm guessing pressure in center still low 950s. Seems to be holding steady
North side means business and starting to pickup a few 115mph pixels on the SW side.
