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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
Usually modeled wind gusts don’t quite match reality due to surface friction, stuff in the way (hills, trees, buildings, etc.), and such. Or at least that’s what I’ve experienced. Could be wrong.
usually those maps are overdone but I do wonder with the gradient if they are more legit than normal.
Yeah I'm at the office this morning to close out the quarter and every one here is like oh it'll just be a gust of wind or 2 and I'm like orly?
I think we will see a few max gusts in the 60-65 maybe 70 range with a lot of 50+ which would be one of our bigger tropical system wind events in a while
jaw719
Member
Biggest gusts of the day so far going through now.
NoSnowATL
Member
NAM ?
Cary_Snow95
Member
Yeah as we've seen time and time again, really tightening up as it approaches land (I'm sure land friction plays a role) but those warm gulf stream waters don't hurt. Looks due north too
edit: maybe on radar looks NNW now
Brick Tamland
Member
Brick Tamland
Member
Our current climate.
Looking more like landfall will be just south and west of myrtle .. clear NW movement with the eye probably being pulled by that western eye wall blow up of convection
Winds are already increasing here, nothing crazy but a notable step up from early AM
Picking up speed
11:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 30
Location: 32.4°N 79.0°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
11:00 AM EDT Fri Sep 30
Location: 32.4°N 79.0°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 980 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
This has almost been a copy paste comment for NHC last several days..
The new forecast is adjusted a bit to the east, but should still lead to a landfall in South Carolina this afternoon.
The new forecast is adjusted a bit to the east, but should still lead to a landfall in South Carolina this afternoon.
Sheesh new advisory has Ian down 4 mb and moving much faster. Giddy up!
Is Recon now finding pressures sub 980mb?
Up to about 3 inches of rain here. Looks like we will be in a lull for a bit. Tide still running about 1 ft higher than usual on Bogue Sound. Wind still NE, maybe gusting to around 30 mph. After this break we will have to start watching for cells coming off the water for rotation.
MSLP: 1007.4
MSLP: 1007.4
the crystal coast sure did seem like ground zero for severe yesterday on the 3k
Wobble west or taking the hard left hook?
Looks like its going hard NW. Edit: on second look, it appears they missed the center with that fix. Pressure is higher and winds not as calm.
