Tropical Hurricane Ian

[Metwannabe]

Nice little blowup of convection on west side, tons of lightning with it now too.

 

[Metwannabe]

Is ILM radar the one with the tree issues?

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Nice little blowup of convection on west side, tons of lightning with it now too.

I was just about to say that. West side has always been the strong side of this storm


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[SENC]

current conditions here on the sound.. (Topsail/Sloop Point)

66F
Pressure 29.8 in
Visibility 0~5 miles
Clouds Cloudy
Dew Point 64 F
Humidity 97 %
Rainfall (so far) 0.15 in

Wind(s) are Quite "blustery"

 

[SimeonNC]

I'm surprised that the temp has kept dropping. It's now about 53-54F rn.

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Up to 0.5” so far in Cary. So running ahead of schedule. Temp has held study at 54.9. Looks to be a firehose until midnight

 

[Shaggy]

And btw that was a significant jump eastward on the GFS with the track, last 3 runs
View attachment 122632

Been playing catch up the entire time. Didn't they just do a big upgrade and add a super computer or something? They need to do a case study how bad the models have done with Ian

 

[BHS1975]

Is ILM radar the one with the tree issues?

Yes


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[Downeastnc]

So recon is happening or no?

 

[Avalanche]

When this gets closer and if it goes just west, will we get any of that soupy airmass with higher dp?

 

[Metwannabe]

Yes


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Yeah that's so ridiculous, really interfering this morning with viewing the center

 

[FallsLake]

When this gets closer and if it goes just west, will we get any of that soupy airmass with higher dp?

I'm no met, but (some) models have shown it getting cut off over NC. This allows the lower (50s) dew points to rotate completely around the storm.

 

[Metwannabe]

So recon is happening or no?

Doesn't look like but I don't know where to find those specifics, I bet some mechanical issue stopped it but that is pure speculation on my part

 

[SD]

Is ILM radar the one with the tree issues?

Yeah ride the chs and mhx radars until you can't here

 

[lexxnchloe]

 

[Metwannabe]

Looks like another Recon flight headed that way now so something must've happened to stop the other one.

 

[thunderwolf]

Rain started here last night. Got about 2" so far. Tide is running about 1 ft higher than normally. Wind now trying to get more easterly, but pretty mild.

Highest gust so far here was 48 mph so I guess TS Warning verified.

 

[Metwannabe]

I'm no met, but (some) models have shown it getting cut off over NC. This allows the lower (50s) dew points to rotate completely around the storm.
View attachment 122634

It'll be transitioning quickly to ET, arguably already occurring, and with that cooler/drier air intrusion you'll get an occluded front pushing those DPs back east. If this was your typical TC in that position there would be a serious severe threat for CNC and ENC
of course I'm no met either, just a wannabe

 

[WxGSO]

It'll be transitioning quickly to ET, arguably already occurring, and with that cooler/drier air intrusion you'll get an occluded front pushing those DPs back east. If this was your typical TC in that position there would be a serious severe threat for CNC and ENC
of course I'm no met either, just a wannabe

Yeah, it's basically a noreaster now....there could be a good "thump" of winds/rain/surge along the coast but probably not more than what they have seen in the past. A good soaking rain inland NC/SC. Hopefully, the winds won't be enough to cause any major disruptions.

 

[WES1023]

I'm in mount pleasant near the pier. Winds sustained around 40.