Shaggy
Member
Time sensitive but could these be gravity waves on water vapor ejecting south out of the center?
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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
SWVAwxfan
Member
Looking more ominous for the NRV. Meanwhile, that model only show 0.35 in of rain for KCAE.
smast16
Member
I dont really believe Ian is tropical anymore, and has undergone ET. The only reason why NHC is still keeping it alive is because this will still be a bad storm coming ashore tomorrow.
85mph now?
Well now...
That UKMET run to Shallotte wasn’t that bad of a call
Henry2326
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
One thing I notice, is that on the new run the bend back west doesn’t begin until it’s around 32 degrees North. Whereas 18z has that turn around 30.7 N. Makes a huge difference
jeremyt
Member
Just got back from a brush fire. Looks like NHC forecast shifted a little north. Next 12-14 hours will be interesting
Thor
Member
Brick Tamland
Member
Going further north? Shocking.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Last 4 runs of the NAM
There’s definitely still enough tropical characteristics to still call it a hurricane, but I do think it is taking on some extra-tropical characteristics as well. You are right that even if it were ET, the NHC is going to continue treating it as a hurricane… they got too much grief back in 2012 for not issuing hurricane warnings for the Maryland and NJ coasts with Sandy
Avalanche
Member
The rain field is looking pretty anemic to me.
It's going to become more expansive by morning.
lizajane
Member
It's raining steadily here. Started about 4pm.
Cary_Snow95
Member
JHS
Member
0z NAM has landfall about 25 miles SW of Myrtle Beach.