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Tropical Hurricane Ian

Avalanche said:
You guys did great then!!
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If I'm being honest I got lucky. I was only around .75 for much of the day yesterday but caught the edge of the core late in the afternoon and evening and piled it up on a hurry.

We as a local area probably got lucky that Ian had some forward speed and was being pulled apart some last night. Had it been slower or didn't have the dry air wrapping in most of these totals would have been 2-3x higher
 
SD said:
If I'm being honest I got lucky. I was only around .75 for much of the day yesterday but caught the edge of the core late in the afternoon and evening and piled it up on a hurry
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That's when my rain began as well. Funny I was under yellows and some reds, but no precip falling for a decent portion of the time. Once the reds from Wake, Lee, and Harnett came NE, I finally got some wind driven rain.
 
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SD said:
No problem. I was going to post the radar estimates but it's way off.
Couple examples
Radar estimate here 2.5 I recorded 2.6 but lost 3 hours of data due to the power being out so its more likely 3.5.
Parents got 4.5 but the radar estimates 1.98
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I recorded 3.12 total. But the little Tempest man came to work early this morning. Rain error in my favor, collect .31 more inches! Up to 3.43 and he's still busy. Dude's a machine. Always on time, doesn't take days off, and never calls in sick.
 
SD said:
Going to be interesting to see how drizzly/showery we can get tomorrow evening into Monday as the remnant of Ian come back south and shift offshore and the next upper end digs in. A deep N to NE flow with showers Monday could lock some areas along and west of US1 into the low 50s
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Yeah… even tomorrow afternoon looks like it might start getting a little bit drizzly here. Definitely overcast cool. I’m going to the Panthers game and it’s a 4:05 start… looking like I might actually need the hoodie tomorrow and I can’t remember the last time I wore one to a game this early in the season
 
I've never experienced a landfalling hurricane along the SE ATL Coast with temps in the mid 60s for the duration of sensible impacts, and doubt I ever will again. It was 55 when I got to RDU yesterday morning around 8am to drop the in-laws off. You can see the warm front around 8pm, about the time of those streamers feeding a robust baroclinic enhanced axis over central NC.

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Iceagewhereartthou said:
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Some of these totals East of I26 look low to me (I think the Spartanbug airport got more than 3 inches) but you can certainly see the big cutoff West. Only .46 for me but I'm good with that. Now if this had been a snowstorm I would be in mourning!
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It is low I had 2.95 just north of Boiling Springs
 
I'm here to report that I survived Ian at a Disney Springs hotel thanks to my baseball helmet and ski goggles that I wore throughout the duration of the storm. Without those, I would have surely perished. Safety first people.
 
Avalanche said:
Weather channel said I had an inch here in Chatham. I think it was closer to1.25 or 1.5.
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NWS has much higher totals for Chatham County.
Source: https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202210011518-KRAH-NOUS42-PNSRAH

...CHATHAM COUNTY...
APEX 7.8 NW 3.88 IN 0830 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
PITTSBORO 5.4 WSW 3.66 IN 0700 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
CARY 7.5 WNW 3.60 IN 0845 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
GOLDSTON 3.8 N 3.53 IN 0700 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
PITTSBORO 6.7 NE 3.48 IN 0800 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
CARY 7.8 WNW 3.41 IN 0818 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
PITTSBORO 3.3 NNW 3.33 IN 0825 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
CHAPEL HILL 6.8 S 3.26 IN 0729 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
PITTSBORO 5.4 NNW 3.24 IN 0800 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
SILER CITY 7.2 NE 3.20 IN 0900 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
SANFORD 10.0 N 3.10 IN 0730 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
PITTSBORO 7.3 NE 3.09 IN 0700 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
APEX 9.2 WNW 2.93 IN 0930 AM 10/01 COCORAHS
2.4 N MONCURE 2.31 IN 1000 AM 10/01 COOP
 
2.66 Total for me. Winds were the fastest around 9pm. Pressure got down to 998, and i got a few gusts in the low 50s. GSO recorded a max gust of 51, so that seems about right. Lost a big branch out of a tree in the back. It's easily a foot in diameter, maybe a smidge more. It was up high, so when it came down it pulled a few more with it.

And grass seed held and really sprouted with rain on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.
 
Gonna be the deadliest hurricane in the CONUS since Katrina sadly. Also deadliest hurricane in Florida since 1935!

I expect a lot of things to be written in the postseason about this because the failures were all around starting with the models consistently being too far west
 
Brent said:
Gonna be the deadliest hurricane in the CONUS since Katrina sadly. Also deadliest hurricane in Florida since 1935!

I expect a lot of things to be written in the postseason about this because the failures were all around starting with the models consistently being too far west
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Indeed, a case example for an upper end large Major in to SW FL which is rare. Charlie was a micro type, Ian was a very large circulation, big difference in surge impacts south of the landfalling center. Tampa really lucked out (inside 36 hours), that surge up Tampa Bay would have been far worse in losses.
 
Brent said:
Gonna be the deadliest hurricane in the CONUS since Katrina sadly. Also deadliest hurricane in Florida since 1935!

I expect a lot of things to be written in the postseason about this because the failures were all around starting with the models consistently being too far west
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The problem is officials are afraid to pull the trigger on warnings "to" early.....hell I remember when Hurricane Floyd was coming and they evacuated the entire SE coast from Miami to Hatteras several days before it hit.....then took a lot of heat when it missed Florida...

With Ian they did not issue mandatory evacuation orders in Lee County until Ian was less than 24 hrs out for the Ft Myers area. The NHC had issued a surge warning for Lee County days before they took a hit....there is some indication that Lee County did not follow their own comprehensive emergency management plan.

This will of course lead the the inevitable fight about how crying wolf leads to complacency and people not heeding the warning etc....but at least they had a warning to not heed, and those that wanted to had time to leave....in the end though

The NHC and NWS need to look at finding better ways to convey the danger of these storms better....
 
I have a contact in the SW FL area that said there is evidence of salt water (storm surge) causing fires in various places when it came into contact with the batteries of electric bikes and autos. Anyone heard of this?
 
SASQUATCH said:
I have a contact in the SW FL area that said there is evidence of salt water (storm surge) causing fires in various places when it came into contact with the batteries of electric bikes and autos. Anyone heard of this?
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Water and electricity are never a winning combo, regardless of the metals (ions) contained within. Salt water is by default more corrosive than fresh water. Lithium exposed to water regardless of sodium content is fun to watch.
 
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I'm wondering how high the death toll is really gonna go... I've heard some bad rumors the last couple days that I'm hoping are just the usual false exaggerations but who knows. It sounds like some people who evacuated from Tampa went to Fort Myers though(and most of those hotels were absolutely gutted).... There was a lot of bad decisions all around with this storm
 
Brent said:
I'm wondering how high the death toll is really gonna go... I've heard some bad rumors the last couple days that I'm hoping are just the usual false exaggerations but who knows. It sounds like some people who evacuated from Tampa went to Fort Myers though(and most of those hotels were absolutely gutted).... There was a lot of bad decisions all around with this storm
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Dang, they never got out of the cone. I know folks have their reasons of where they evacuate, but I've always believed to at least get out of the cone. Of course, I know I'm assuming that everyone pays attention to weather like I do, which is foolish, but dang! Hate it for those folks.
 
SASQUATCH said:
Dang, they never got out of the cone. I know folks have their reasons of where they evacuate, but I've always believed to at least get out of the cone. Of course, I know I'm assuming that everyone pays attention to weather like I do, which is foolish, but dang! Hate it for those folks.
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I had heard the same thing in Charley... People in Tampa went to Orlando and got the eyewall while Tampa had nothing (granted they are inland so it wasn't like Fort Myers with surge) but still
 
SASQUATCH said:
Dang, they never got out of the cone. I know folks have their reasons of where they evacuate, but I've always believed to at least get out of the cone. Of course, I know I'm assuming that everyone pays attention to weather like I do, which is foolish, but dang! Hate it for those folks.
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We always just got out of the state, We had family here in NC, so we always ended up here.
 
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