Tropical Hurricane Ian

[BHS1975]

So close

You're about to get power washed.


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[Arcc]

Yesterdays HWRF and HMON were spectacular concerning the quick ERC and RIC cycle.

 

[Snowfan]

Mike Siedel just said this is one of the worst hurricanes he has ever been in.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Brick Tamland]

Mike Siedel just said this is one of the worst hurricanes he has ever been in.

It looked liked it.

 

[DustinWx]

I’m enjoying it personally. Standing outside typing this in the eye wall

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Jack Roney]

106mph gust at Punta Gorda showing up for the last hour

 

[JHS]

Euro down to 980MB at 48 hours.

 

[JHS]

Headed towards Hilton Head it looks like at 980MB.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Euro down to 980MB at 48 hours.

Yep. Takes a 980 right into HHI. Consensus for this area for 2nd LF.

 

[SD]

Euro is still ticking faster and farther N/NE looks like landfall will be near HHI

 

[BullCityWx]

If you split the difference between the northern camps(UKMET, ICON, NAM) and the southern camp(GEM, GFS, EURO) you end up with Charleston. I feel like thats gonna be a decent enough call.

 

[BullCityWx]

Yep. Takes a 980 right into HHI. Consensus for this area for 2nd LF.

Consensus? There is a split camp. I know the southern solution affects the mountains more but it's anything but a consensus right now.

 

[DustinWx]

Storm seems far weaker than Michael at first take

 

[BullCityWx]

Euro is still ticking faster and farther N/NE looks like landfall will be near HHI

I think euro is gonna keep going north and the northern camp will head a bit south and it'll be somewhere between Kiawah and Edisto. I still weigh the modelling that took this out into the atlantic more than the others as well but thats just me.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Consensus? There is a split camp. I know the southern solution affects the mountains more but it's anything but a consensus right now.

Consensus from the Hurricane models.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Storm seems far weaker than Michael at first take

Nah. The same was said when Michael came in too. This one is as bad and will cause a LOT more damage.

That said, I see the palms still aren't defoliated, so meh.