Tropical Hurricane Ian

[Henry2326]

GFS weaker but basically same track of ICON into SC

UKie has led this tea party for days. I see no reason yet to back off their forecast.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[LovingGulfLows]

I have zero doubts this will be upgraded post-analysis if it doesn't get upgraded today.

 

[Nerman]

NHC has been great showing this yesterday as a strengthening Cat 4 into landfall

 

[Henry2326]

12z ICON moves back to Charleston at 966 pressure.
In previous runs, except for this morning, it was in the 965-970, and once or twice showed 958.

 

[Taylor C]

Watch the tornado threat. It looks pretty serious with very populated areas in a 10% risk zone.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Some incredible footage of flooding on TWC from Ft Myers Beach

 

[Belle Lechat]

Reporters at the surface.

 

[Taylor C]

The HRRR shows the center of the eye over Bokeelia around 4pm EDT. The center is currently 29 miles away.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[deltadog03]

stronger storm ***CURRENT*** steering to a weaker Ian

 

[DopplerWx]

This is sick

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Brick Tamland]

Here is the live video of the storm surge in Ft Myers Beach.

 

[KyloG]

FWIW UK makes landfall a little further north on 12z run

 

[Metwannabe]

Ukie up to the SC/NC border

 

[Snowfan]

 

[SCWXGuy]

Periwinkle & Casa Ybel webcam on Sanibel Island, you can see it getting brighter as the eye approaches. Several feet of water and rising. Web cams are down on the east end of the island, but at least 4-5 ft of water based on mailboxes and signs before they failed. Unfortunately a majority of the island, if not the entire island is underwater.

 

[Metwannabe]

Pretty big jump up the coast