It'll continue to strengthen until LF. Dry air isn't embedding past that eyewall and this thing is imbedded into the trough and moving parallel with the shear. Right now shear is helping to enhance the strengthening. That's one reason why the western side of the eyewall is so stout and even more of an issue than the usual NE eyewall.
Hurricanes usually disrupt anywhere from 300-1000 feet below the surface so I would say upwelling likely isn't going to be an issue in these waters.
We all know how Euro wind maps verify. He should know better. On the shore, maybe, but inland?
He noted that....don't focus on the scale, just note the model is picking up some gusty winds. That was his intent.
Yeah those are obviously overdone, but there will be a fairly tight pressure gradient between Ian and the high in the Northeast that will cause some fairly high gusts in the 40s at times, but certainly not in the 60mph+ range like the Euro was showing
Time : 125020 UTC
It was posted a few pages back, twitter link with video of the water being pulled out.
That's a good observation. The deeper waters off the East Coast probably have a lot to do with that.
