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Tropical Hurricane Ian

BHS1975 said:
Why hasn't the eye cleaned up?


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Probably shear and such but in terms of internal mechanics this thing doesn’t give a ---- about shear. It’s too big at this point to have that effect it. It would affect satellite presentation though .. what’s under the hood is what matters.
 
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I have family in Sarasota that refused to evacuate. Prayers for everyone affected .


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CLTwx said:
Hmm....wonder if this verifies:


Posted just now
Isaiah_Wx CODE RED
@IsaiahHartzell2
RECON has support for a 140 kt storm, 160 MPH, Cat. 5. The next plane is going in for another pass

and: 933.1 mb
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Yep. It looks like Ian has nudged right up to CAT 5. I know there's an argument pressure is irrelevant, but I've always been of the mind that a CAT 5 needs to have a pressure at least in the 920s. Ian looks to make it shortly.
 
So it looks like he's a good measure stronger than advertised on the modelling valid at 12z today. Larger, stronger hurricanes are generally harder to turn, right? I wonder if this affects the next 48 hours.
 
BullCityWx said:
So it looks like he's a good measure stronger than advertised on the modelling valid at 12z today. Larger, stronger hurricanes are generally harder to turn, right? I wonder if this affects the next 48 hours.
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Ian has been stubborn to even move much plus overnight he's definitely bent left. Almost due north.
 
Clearly we have a Cat 5 at this point. That eyewall is going to be hell on Earth this afternoon. Recon had serious issues passing this last time and turned around after going through one time.
 
Snow_chaser said:
I wonder why when these monster canes make it all the way up to 155 there seems to be a hesitancy to bump it the 2 mph to a cat 5? Michael was like that, made landfall at the time at 155 and then reclassified to a 5. I know the numbers have to support it, but it seems odd that they classify it that close to a 5.
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I often wonder about that too. There isn't much difference as far as the damage that a strong Cat 4 with winds of 150 MPH causes compared to a minimal Cat 5. Both are going to be devastating and there are several examples of what were considered strong Cat 4 storms that were later reclassified to a Cat 5 after analysis of the effects of a storm on an area. I think a storm with winds of 150 MPH or above should receive a Cat 5 designation.
 
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