Tropical Hurricane Dorian

[Myfrotho704_]

All that lightning is a sign of likely intense updrafts, and we all know how those “downdrafts” will respond to a really intense updraft, even bigger wind approaching 190-200mph sustained is possible

 

[Ethan80963]

Both planes headed for NE eye wall pass

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Buzzsaw.. I mean if you didn’t know this thing was about to curve back out you would think Florida was doomed. These monster hurricanes just don’t like to crash into continental land mass. Hugo was one of the few exceptions

 

[Tarheel1]

Buzzsaw.. I mean if you didn’t know this thing was about to curve back out you would think Florida was doomed. These monster hurricanes just don’t like to crash into continental land mass. Hugo was one of the few exceptions
View attachment 22733

Very glad my cruise to the Bahamas was last week!
Prayers for them!

 

[Brick Tamland]

Buzzsaw.. I mean if you didn’t know this thing was about to curve back out you would think Florida was doomed. These monster hurricanes just don’t like to crash into continental land mass. Hugo was one of the few exceptions
View attachment 22733

We don't know if it is going to curve or not. Models have been off. It is still moving west and not slowing down.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

All these canes have/gonna change lives, that’s the scary part

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I don’t even know what to say

 

[malak05]

Just feel today and tonight are sorta judgement time for where this ends up if after passing Bahamas we dont see the slow down and modificationnto trajectory we are looking at a realistic LF somewhere from NE florida thru Myrtle Beach somewhere. The thing is the speed and path of storm has outpaced models constentally to this point.

 

[Snowfan]

000
URNT15 KWBC 011444
NOAA2 2905A DORIAN HDOB 16 20190901
143430 2652N 07616W 7517 02469 9990 +136 +122 135072 073 054 000 00
143500 2651N 07618W 7511 02471 9978 +140 +117 136074 075 055 000 00
143530 2649N 07619W 7509 02462 9969 +139 +117 136075 075 058 001 00
143600 2648N 07621W 7522 02438 9958 +138 +122 133076 077 056 003 00
143630 2647N 07623W 7523 02426 9943 +140 +119 133080 080 060 005 00
143700 2645N 07624W 7514 02421 9927 +139 +119 132083 084 063 005 00
143730 2644N 07626W 7513 02405 9911 +139 +111 132089 090 068 004 00
143800 2643N 07628W 7527 02370 9884 +138 +135 132093 096 073 006 00
143830 2642N 07630W 7522 02348 9853 +141 +134 132099 103 080 005 00
143900 2640N 07631W 7516 02314 9810 +143 +136 132110 113 090 006 00
143930 2639N 07633W 7513 02270 9753 +147 +141 132118 123 102 009 00
144000 2638N 07635W 7512 02205 9681 +144 //// 130133 136 118 035 05
144030 2637N 07636W 7449 02179 9570 +142 //// 131151 157 150 040 01
144100 2635N 07638W 7282 02226 9416 +144 //// 136146 155 164 028 01
144130 2634N 07639W 7257 02140 9265 +177 +157 132109 130 167 031 03
144200 2633N 07641W 7431 01886 9189 +216 +142 141048 058 104 000 03
144230 2632N 07643W 7499 01792 9176 +222 +144 160027 030 040 001 03
144300 2631N 07645W 7561 01707 9154 +235 +138 146020 022 034 000 03
144330 2629N 07646W 7527 01729 9130 +250 +131 003012 026 034 001 00
144400 2628N 07648W 7528 01752 9161 +237 +135 333059 081 070 007 03
Pressure is down to 913 mb and the winds have increased to 164 knots.

 

[EV/WS]

 

[Rosie]

Mandatory evacuations zones A and B Palm Beach County.

 

[deltadog03]

Just for S & G's....12z NAM sits this over the Bahamas for roughly 24 hours. I just can't see that happening...maybe it will?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Weaker ridges on the Nam leads to weaker steering compared to the last run.

 

[Downeastnc]

 

[Ollie Williams]

000
URNT15 KWBC 011444
NOAA2 2905A DORIAN HDOB 16 20190901
143430 2652N 07616W 7517 02469 9990 +136 +122 135072 073 054 000 00
143500 2651N 07618W 7511 02471 9978 +140 +117 136074 075 055 000 00
143530 2649N 07619W 7509 02462 9969 +139 +117 136075 075 058 001 00
143600 2648N 07621W 7522 02438 9958 +138 +122 133076 077 056 003 00
143630 2647N 07623W 7523 02426 9943 +140 +119 133080 080 060 005 00
143700 2645N 07624W 7514 02421 9927 +139 +119 132083 084 063 005 00
143730 2644N 07626W 7513 02405 9911 +139 +111 132089 090 068 004 00
143800 2643N 07628W 7527 02370 9884 +138 +135 132093 096 073 006 00
143830 2642N 07630W 7522 02348 9853 +141 +134 132099 103 080 005 00
143900 2640N 07631W 7516 02314 9810 +143 +136 132110 113 090 006 00
143930 2639N 07633W 7513 02270 9753 +147 +141 132118 123 102 009 00
144000 2638N 07635W 7512 02205 9681 +144 //// 130133 136 118 035 05
144030 2637N 07636W 7449 02179 9570 +142 //// 131151 157 150 040 01
144100 2635N 07638W 7282 02226 9416 +144 //// 136146 155 164 028 01
144130 2634N 07639W 7257 02140 9265 +177 +157 132109 130 167 031 03
144200 2633N 07641W 7431 01886 9189 +216 +142 141048 058 104 000 03
144230 2632N 07643W 7499 01792 9176 +222 +144 160027 030 040 001 03
144300 2631N 07645W 7561 01707 9154 +235 +138 146020 022 034 000 03
144330 2629N 07646W 7527 01729 9130 +250 +131 003012 026 034 001 00
144400 2628N 07648W 7528 01752 9161 +237 +135 333059 081 070 007 03
Pressure is down to 913 mb and the winds have increased to 164 knots.

Remember when we laughed at the HWRF for being at 930 so MB. HA!

 

[Brent]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019

...DORIAN BECOMES THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN MODERN RECORDS FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
...CATASTROPHIC CONDITIONS OCCURING IN THE ABACOS ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the east coast of Florida from
north of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

A Storm Surge Watch has also been issued from north of Deerfield
Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

 

[deltadog03]

This goes to show you, not that y'all don't know, how hard it is to predict hurricane movement. NHC has to be very nervous about it.

 

[Jessy89]

Remember when we laughed at the HWRF for being at 930 so MB. HA!

Who’s to say it’s not right on its track to


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Brent]

 

[Snowfan]