Tropical Hurricane Dorian

[WXinCanton]

Josh is in Marsh Harbor. Say a prayer, we won't hear from him for a while. That part of the island will be under water for sure.

 

[Tarheel1]

Correct me if I’m wrong but it seems like big uptick in lightning around the eye, if so, uh oh.

The eye looks to be getting more concentric! Amazing , powerful , storm

 

[Philstorm91]

Have they evacuated the northern Bahamas yet? If not I really feel for them right now.

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[Ethan80963]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 22724

No. Fvcking. Way

 

[ForsythSnow]

View attachment 22724

I saw that. That's a 200 mph instantaneous speed at the surface which aligns with the gust, and that 195 not far above? 225 mph. IF this has only started to RI, I think we are about to shatter records. We may even see the first ever 200 mph sustained wind advisory if nothing stops it.

 

[Stump]

View attachment 22724

First 200+ Surface reading?

 

[BHS1975]

Looks like its gonna pass my 180 mph prediction from when it was still south of PR.


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[Tarheel1]

?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Much weaker ridges on the Nam so far. probably won't go as west.

 

[Brent]

180 mph

AL, 05, 2019090112, 03, OFCL, 3, 265N, 768W, 155, 919, HU,
155kts

 

[ForsythSnow]

Much weaker ridges on the Nam so far. probably won't go as west.

Ridge out west is much stronger this run however.

 

[Snowfan]

AL, 05, 2019090112, 03, OFCL, 3, 265N, 768W, 155, 919, HU,

It's now to 155 knots which is 180 mph.

 

[Snow_chaser]

So is Allen in 1980 at 190 the strongest ever in the Atlantic? Think Dorian can reach it?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

F

Correct me if I’m wrong but it seems like big uptick in lightning around the eye, if so, uh oh.

Freeport is right in the crosshairs..ouch

 

[Stormsfury]

So is Allen in 1980 at 190 the strongest ever in the Atlantic? Think Dorian can reach it?

I was getting ready to research strongest in the ATL and it is indeed Allen 1980. It's gonna be close with Dorian. Not sure what disruption will happen with the island chain and Dorian occurs

 

[Ollie Williams]

Ridge out west is much stronger this run however.

Only at H5. 250 weaker.
06z

12z

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a lot of lightning, almost the amount we get in our strong summer storms, that’s crazy

 

[F-5]

Dorian looks to impact directly the most populated areas of Great Abaco Island. Marsh Harbor has 6k residents.

Terrible.

 

[malak05]

The NAM eye intialization does appear to be by naked eye about 75-100 miles off of actually sat location