Tropical Hurricane Dorian

[GeorgiaGirl]

HMON just nails Great Abaco of the northwestern Bahamas in a little over a day, then it stalls over Grand Bahama, ouch.

edit: and comparing to the 6z, it's absolutely brutal for Grand Bahama.

 

[BHS1975]

It looks like the slower it is the further se of NC it will track.


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[deltadog03]

Looks like it's starting to slow down.....maybe

Doesn't look like it yet. Imo.

 

[GaWx]

Doesn't look like it yet. Imo.

Appears to be speeding up again although not to quite as fast as last night. Already close to 73.75 W I think. 12 MPH last 2 hours?

 

[deltadog03]

Appears to be speeding up again although not to quite as fast as last night. Already close to 73.75 W I think. 12 MPH last 2 hours?

yes sir! Its moving pretty quickly for a big cane. Going to be very important, as you know, for the end game.

 

[deltadog03]

Appears to be speeding up again although not to quite as fast as last night. Already close to 73.75 W I think. 12 MPH last 2 hours?

If aI am not mistaken its going run a bit south of the NHC 18z plot from the adv earlier this am. and a bit faster. I Am trying to find that lat/long

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Both the hurricane models seem well west (by at least 50-100 miles), one brings brutal impact on the Bahamas in a little over a day, and the other is still impactful but not as much....sheesh, fun forecast here eh? (not really)

HMON seems as if it wants to bring this cane in in North Florida.

 

[Metwannabe]

Doesn't look like it yet. Imo.

Appears to be speeding up again although not to quite as fast as last night. Already close to 73.75 W I think. 12 MPH last 2 hours?

Dang.... it sure looked like it had slowed for a time.

 

[pcbjr]

yes sir! Its moving pretty quickly for a big cane. Going to be very important, as you know, for the end game.

tremendous ramifications if it gets up a head of steam ... slowing down in that case won't happen in a wink ...

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Both the hurricane models seem well west (by at least 50-100 miles), one brings brutal impact on the Bahamas in a little over a day, and the other is still impactful but not as much....sheesh, fun forecast here eh? (not really)

HMON seems as if it wants to bring this cane in in North Florida.

Yea well west wow. Off to Euro and ensembles .

 

[BHS1975]

Yea well west wow. Off to Euro and ensembles .

Probally due to the ridge over-performing again.


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[DopplerWx]

not sure how reliable the hwrf is out this far but it is also sig west vs 06z at 93hr

 

[Snowfan]

HMON is making landfall in southeast Georgia @93 hours.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

HMON actually with dat rare coastal Georgia landfall:



At 6z the center was about 50 miles off the coast in northern SC, now here we have this.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Euro Initializes at 984 MB 4 MB stronger that what 00z had for now. Ridge stornger

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro is a touch faster... could get very interesting

 

[Metwannabe]

Slowing down with a slight SW drift @36

 

[deltadog03]

Slowing down with a slight SW drift @36

hmmm...I so wish I had better euro maps.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Euro seems like it's a hair SW to me on my free maps compared to yesterday's 12z.

 

[Metwannabe]

hmmm...I so wish I had better euro maps.

Stalling out @48