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Pattern Hotober

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I've observed numerous quick ~3 degree ups and downs on many mostly sunny afternoons on my thermometers in ATL and SAV over the years. I was initially surprised because it seemed counterintuitive to me, but now I know it is normal that even on a sunny day temps don't rise on a smooth slope.

Meanwhile, KATL has already had 8 different 5 minute obs with 97 going back to 1:25 PM including the latest ob, which has clear skies! This 97 is already enough for the highest on record in Oct, breaking yesterday's 96. 98 and perhaps 99 may not be far behind! Very special times for wx weenies! Despite GW, we may not have this opportunity (extreme very late heat in the SE US) again the rest of our lives...so enjoy it!
Lol this is one weather extreme I choose not to enjoy! And we'll see it again. Didn't think I'd see a September like last year, until this year.
 
Man what little greenery that was left out there taking a brutal beating today, triple digit heat with humidity dropping into the 25-30% range.... sucking the life out of anything

The leaves are falling like crazy before they even turn colors.
 
Man what little greenery that was left out there taking a brutal beating today, triple digit heat with humidity dropping into the 25-30% range.... sucking the life out of anything

Yeah i haven’t looked at the SPC but you’d think fire WX could be a issue with
1. Low humidity
2. Some breezes every now and then
3. Lack of soil moisture
4. Ridiculous heat
5. Idiots
 
The 12z ECMWF is very bearish on rain chances with the next front that comes along early next week. Looks like many of us could go without another drop of rain thru mid October. I'm very doubtful that 0.1" will verify in Charlotte.

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The 12z ECMWF is very bearish on rain chances with the next front that comes along early next week. Looks like many of us could go without another drop of rain thru mid October. I'm very doubtful that 0.1" will verify in Charlotte.

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Can see the downsloping flow effect on here lol, drought begets drought
 
Just seems to be the model error at this range. Several times last year this was the case. GFS likes to take that frontal line and move it vertical. Also it pushes those cold anoms too far south.

Fair enough but it has zeroed on the upcoming fronts being sluggish and having to depend on a CAD to cool down.

Granted we need more runs but we haven’t see the look of next weekend’s front in a while. Not to mentions the CMC is supporting the idea.


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The 12z ECMWF is very bearish on rain chances with the next front that comes along early next week. Looks like many of us could go without another drop of rain thru mid October. I'm very doubtful that 0.1" will verify in Charlotte.

View attachment 24241

Next weekend’s potential front may tap something called gulf moisture. Apparently it’s a thing!


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Yeah i haven’t looked at the SPC but you’d think fire WX could be a issue with
1. Low humidity
2. Some breezes every now and then
3. Lack of soil moisture
4. Ridiculous heat
5. Idiots
Lack of stronger winds mostly, also usually humidity has to drop to around 25%, which obviously it is very close
 
My daughter is supposed to have soccer practice at 5:00 today. It's supposed to still be 96 degrees at 5:00.
 
That's 3 major models showing a massive cold front. There may be some cold coming quite soon. Would be quite the contrast.

The very dry soils around here will definitely help us radiatively cool at night, I could certainly see an early frost being observed around here if we manage get a really strong front to swing thru the next few weeks.
 
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