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Pattern Hotober

Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I knew that! As long as I can escape the heat for a couple days idgaf. If the Euro is right about that big cool shot middle of next week then I might have picked a good week to go ??‍♂️
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The CAD looks legit this weekend, just a matter of how cool it will be!
I’ve heard Wilkesboro is nice this time of year!?
 
Tarheel1 said:
The CAD looks legit this weekend, just a matter of how cool it will be!
I’ve heard Wilkesboro is nice this time of year!?
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Eh this CAD is weird with lots of hail. Another severe warning now.
 
metwannabe said:
A decent CAD on the Euro for the weekend.... I'll worry about the long range later, right now I'm head over hills for this weekend!! (Sorry for our friends west of the Apps your's is coming :))

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Unfortunately our Alabama friends will need to get through the weekend before they get some real relief.


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I don't need it to be cold. I need it to not feel like 100+ (and hopefully not close to 90 or above either) in the sun when I have to be outside. That's what it felt like today when I helped carry in groceries. Luckily I did get a swim in a nice and cold pool, but dad's making a dish for cold weather Thursday when its going to be mid 90s still.

I also would like to somehow fix this rain issue. Not October related but its day 29 without measurable rain and I'm missing on the convection.
 
Sleet City USA said:
what does this mean for us?
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EPS supports a really nice +PNA. Typically we don’t see a large change in such a short time period from a model that typically does really well in verifying. It’s a good signal for us.


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Ollie Williams said:
EPS supports a really nice +PNA. Typically we don’t see a large change in such a short time period from a model that typically does really well in verifying. It’s a good signal for us.


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I'll take it for now... but I'd love to see it back in winter!
 
18z GFS continues the good news. Nice rain chances for many of us early next week, followed by lows in the low 50's and upper 40's. I may just get some firewood at the end of this week and get ready to fire up a campfire in the backyard one day next week. You can't beat some hobo dinners on a crisp fall night cooked over some hot coals with some cold adult beverages. One of my favorite things to do when the cooler weather comes in.
 
Seems like alot of talk on videos I've watched about who's gonna see October snow here in the east.
 
accu35 said:
I remember years ago when the southeast seen a October snow, it's not likely for sure but it's very possible indeed.
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I really hope not!
 
Saturday CAD. At this pt seems like the question is how strong of a CAD it will be.
gfs_T2m_seus_19.png
 
GFS backing off the CAD. Would not be surprised if it disappears at 12z. Next week still looks promising though.


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If you're looking outside of NC it's losing the major effects, if trends continue much longer it would put the southern and western areas that can get it in the mid upper 80s...

and no, I'm in an area that does get CAD as well. I know what I'm talking about. This area has even had CAD storms before, although not as many as to my N-NE.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
If you're looking outside of NC it's losing the major effects, if trends continue much longer it would put the southern and western areas that can get it in the mid upper 80s...

and no, I'm in an area that does get CAD as well. I know what I'm talking about. This area has even had CAD storms before, although not as many as to my N-NE.
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Not worried about my area as we over here dont get CADs like y'all do. We get real cold just not CADs.
 
12z NAM is a little faster with the cool air push (at hour 78 compared to hour 84 on 6z).

Here's 12z dew points at hour 84:
jjjj.jpg
 
accu35 said:
Not worried about my area as we over here dont get CADs like y'all do. We get real cold just not CADs.
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I'm not meaning that far southwest. I'm meaning more back to the Atlanta area proper and to about 50 miles south of me. If its a good CAD it will work for both and sometimes cause a sharp gradient from there to Alabama, even if its colder to our northeast.

the good news is if the Georgia area that gets it good loses it entirely to northeast SC and NC, at least everything seems to be on board with losing summer after next Monday.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I'm not meaning that far southwest. I'm meaning more back to the Atlanta area proper and to about 50 miles south of me. If its a good CAD it will work for both and sometimes cause a sharp gradient from there to Alabama, even if its colder to our northeast.

the good news is if the Georgia area that gets it good loses it entirely to northeast SC and NC, at least everything seems to be on board with losing summer after next Monday.
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With the cold front next week, we all would be happy
 
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