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Tropical Global Model Runs Discussion 2017

18z GFS looks to be developing something at 84 compared to 12z
gfs_pres_wind_atltropics_17.png
 
If this storm doesn't verify I may just give up on hurricane season :p

Almost a hurricane at day 6 suddenly

This is the best support I've seen all season and it's not just one model anymore
 
Lots of model consensus ... LOL ... :confused:
Here they are:
NHC -
NHS.png

CMC at 180
cmc_180.png

ECMWF at 192
ecmwf_192.png

ECMWF - OP at 192
ecmwf_-_operational_192.png

GFS at 180
gfs_180.png

HMON at 120
HMON_120.png

Navgem at 180
Navgem_180.png


and then, if that's not enough - go to day 7 on each of the models here:
https://ruc.noaa.gov/hfip/tcgen/

Speaks volumes in hushed tones in early August ...

OK - 5 minutes worth and now back to regularly scheduled programming ... :cool:

PS - Plenty of models to look at in Wiki (tropical models here: http://wiki.southernwx.com/doku.php?id=tropical_models) for your studying pleasure ...
 
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It's also worth noting the GFS has been showing really high heights building over the atlantic around 240 hrs onward. LOL now the GFS has another system developing at 276
 
Mmmm GFS looking hot this run

:weenie::weenie::weenie:

Trough may save the US at the last moment but that's sure a lot of ridging beforehand
 
This run shows that the US cant be ruled out with a threat. Many more runs to go
 
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