Snowking2.0
Member
So ready to get this winter over with
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Misc General Banter Thread
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
When was the last time you guys had to deal with water restrictions? I'd think if things don't get better come Spring those may start to pop up again or is it not an issue as in the past? I wouldn't know since I've got a good 'ol deep well tapped right into a cold water spring, thank goodness!
Brent
Member
Yeah it's kind of ironic that despite the models actually showing more potential here than we've had all winter part of me wonders if it will actually happen
I mean it's barely even rained this winter why should I believe we ever get a real snowstorm???
The time is ticking because it hasn't snowed in March in years
Snowking2.0
Member
Yeah that’s my point it seems like all we been doing is wasting each day away with waiting on something to show up only for us to realize we keep getting screwed over with these models. Before we know this winter will be gone with nothing to show for it.
I'm on a well too. It's been a good one and I've never had issues. I know the cities (Triangle) will put restrictions on when the water source (like Falls Lake) gets low enough. Usually they wait until spring/summer when people try to water their lawns. If this pattern doesn't break, I could see restrictions starting as early as March.
RollTide18
Member
About 10 years ago, I’d stay up all night for some backend flurries at 4am, now that I’m almost 30, nah I’m good lol
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I’m way older than you and I still stay up all night just to see a few flurries.
Brent
Member
Haha not even kidding the surprise dusting before the Gulf storm last year I wasn't even paying attention...
I don't even know how I found out... It was just there
Then again were supposed to average 8 inches a year. It's different out here I guess
RollTide18
Member
If I know for sure that it’s going to snow that’s different but I’ve gotten burned too many times with cold chasing moisture or virga events
Where's @Meteorologist1999? He's been MIA throughout the chasing of this potential storm. I see he's been "missing" since April of last year. I hope he's okay.
EDIT: I took a look at his Facebook page. Unfortunately, he passed away.
EDIT: I took a look at his Facebook page. Unfortunately, he passed away.
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Does snow reach the ground with this sounding? Asking for a friend...
He passed away last year, was murdered
packfan98
Moderator
Flo
Member
Damn. How awful.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Yeah I thought about @Meteorologist1999 too. He is missed and I sure hope they find the person who did this.
Rates will overcome all! 
Snowflowxxl
Member
It’s time to pivot off the models and start monitoring the birds and squirrels
Oconeexman
Member
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To heck with this garbage threat. More excited for a burst of snow tomorrow morning. According the gospel AI that's all we get this month.
Uncovering greens at 11 this morning. Gonna take frustration out on a few golf balls!
Uncovering greens at 11 this morning. Gonna take frustration out on a few golf balls!
I will never look at the GFS again!!! I've known for a long time not to take it seriously but the damn weenie in me takes over. If the Euro doesn't show it you can forget about it.
I think that's our best chance for upstate and Western North Carolina people.
ChattaVOL
Member
Just had surgery and the drugs are making me think…. We still got this. Big 18z runs today. I feel it
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I bet the precipitation shield would really extend 50-100 miles NW of what’s shown in the picture.
HailCore
Member
Unfortunately the air in that sounding is way too dry to allow snow to reach the surface. Anything falling would get eaten up by the high dew point depression around 850mb. The only way snow can get down with that sounding is if there is a steady to moderate snow aloft that is continuously falling and moistens the column. Even then a large amount of that would be wasted trying to get a brief light snow at the surface. The real way you can get snow with this is if the weather system changes orientation or ticks NW where there is more mid level moisture to reduce and eventually overcome this dry air layer.
Ole buzzkill central in here.
I’m a glass half full person and I truly think we see westward expansion of precip as we close in. Still a lot of time for changes
SnowNiner
Member
Nobody worry, next week will be great, we'll get past this disappointment this weekend, and immediately start tracking again for the 24th to 28th timeframe; this time for real. Get your shovels and ice melt out!!
And John Harbaugh is the new coach of the NY Giants, so there's that. Good times!
And John Harbaugh is the new coach of the NY Giants, so there's that. Good times!
BrickTamland
Member
NAM went from this
To this in one run.
To this in one run.
I think a lot of it comes down to most in here being from areas that aren’t seeing any great runs. That’s my take.
buckinbronco
Member
RollTide18
Member
Winter Storm Watches would’ve been issued today if those runs a few days ago stayed consistent but we have dumb and dumber as American models
It's just been way too long since anyone other than places above 3500ft have seen anything meaningful in years. Unless your in Roxboro or Moyock lol
Brent
Member
Yeah I really wish the GFS was going away with the NAM haha
BrickTamland
Member
Really feels like no one knows what will happen with regards to winter storms here until we are 24 hours out or less. First it was we weren't going to have enough precip and temps weren't an issue to now temps are going to be too warm. The GFS and NAM have been all over the place. It's sad that the NAM goes from 6 inches here to nothing in one run just 48 hours out. They need to figure out something with these models because it seems the algorithms they use now don't match our climate data or something anymore because they shouldn't be that bad. It feels like the Euro is the only one that is worth looking at to see if there is going to be a chance of snow and then maybe the short range models like the HRRR inside 24 hours for totals.
Went through my old photos in 2016 and found this and a few others if you need reminding what a real in the flesh big dog looks like in modeling 6 days away
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Well, I haven't been shut out by the NAM yet and I'm not sure I'd call myself thrilled either.
I'd just like to see SOMETHING, anything, bueller say the American models are not crazy.
BrickTamland
Member
Well, in two hours the time will come.
