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Misc General Banter Thread

If anyone is going to chase please make sure your windshield is cleaned and your wipers work and you know how to drive ☠️ thanks for your attention to this matter

Someone was streaming for the TV station in Kansas earlier and nearly ran off the road...
 
Way too many moving parts that ultimately won’t connect for most of us on either storm. Other than that GFS run earlier I’m a little surprised CJ even brought it up. That’s social media I guess.
 
GFS still has the storm, but not as big as the last run. Hope that doesn't mean it's trending towards the Euro. But does it really matter if the Euro is showing rain anyway?
 
Gfs is just wonky. Just toss and pay attention to euro.

Overall right now, first storm is warm and phases too late.

Second storm, who knows, holding out hope, but leaning toward warm.

The blocking coming back would likely help here.
 
Hey Twister. Let's throw all this other forecast stuff out the window. What's Dale Gilbert saying. Want to get this forecast dialed in the next few weeks. Thinking about driving to the end of my street to see a neighbor. Want to make sure the roads will not be ice covered or snow covered. Let me know what Dale Gilbert says. Just trying to plan ahead.
 
Rain Cold said:
I don't know if there is actually any scenario that gives Morganton snow. Maybe a winter storm system moving in from Charleston toward the west. Maybe.
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Systems like what we had in 1987 would bury you up there. The superstorm also gave that area a major hit.
 
ducketta27 said:
For all of us SC snow weenies….

Total snow, 2005–2025 (calendar years)

Region (station proxy) 2005–2025 total snow

Upstate (Spartanburg) 31.6"
Lowcountry (Charleston) 11.7"
Midlands (Columbia) 7.4"
CSRA (Aiken) 4.9"

The “snow drought” is in the middle of the state… not the upstate…


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This cant be right. CAE got 8.9 inches in the Feb 2010 storm. Then they had Dec 2010, Jan 2011, Feb 2014 that has to be close to double what that shows. But yes the last 10 years have been brutal in Columbia. I can't imagine Spartanburg has only gotten 31 inches when GSP Airport has probably double that at a quick glance by this. This only goes to 2022 but thats pretty much the last time it snowed here.
Screenshot_20260109_212727_Gallery.jpg
 
RSG said:
This cant be right. CAE got 8.9 inches in the Feb 2010 storm. Then they had Dec 2010, Jan 2011, Feb 2014 that has to be close to double what that shows. But yes the last 10 years have been brutal in Columbia. I can't imagine Spartanburg has only gotten 31 inches when GSP Airport has probably double that at a quick glance by this. This only goes to 2022 but thats pretty much the last time it snowed here.
View attachment 182100
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Yes, you are correct. Not quite right. Some of the reporting stations did not accurately report that 2010 storm. Disregard incorrect info in last post


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ducketta27 said:
Yes, you are correct. Not quite right. Some of the reporting stations did not accurately report that 2010 storm. Disregard incorrect info in last post


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Whats crazy is Columbia has always had like a 2 inch average. So 20 inches per decade or 40 inches should have fallen in the 20 year timeframe you mentioned. Yet even the correct numbers wouldn't even be half of that. 20 inches per decade seems like an impossible task anymore even for GSP, who should get 47 in a decade based on historical averages. We're more than half way through this decade and have maybe 8 so far. Just absolutely pathetic. And the 1st system is almost surely a miss and at the moment the 2nd system looks more like cold chasing moisture. Then of course we look to warm up. If we blow these 2 opportunities and have to rely on Feb I'd say our chances of going snowless AGAIN are way north of 50% at that point. Smdh
 
Webberweather53 said:
Things seem to be generally going along as I thought they would the last week or so.

Get a big cold push with some winter storm threats around MLK Day, then we back off at the end of Jan into the beginning of Feb with the SE ridge flexing. I suspect we may try to go back our current pattern by mid February ish, tho the mean wavelengths will be getting shorter, which might be a concern for SE ridging
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This is pretty humbling. Around 1 week to score.
 
RSG said:
Whats crazy is Columbia has always had like a 2 inch average. So 20 inches per decade or 40 inches should have fallen in the 20 year timeframe you mentioned. Yet even the correct numbers wouldn't even be half of that. 20 inches per decade seems like an impossible task anymore even for GSP, who should get 47 in a decade based on historical averages. We're more than half way through this decade and have maybe 8 so far. Just absolutely pathetic. And the 1st system is almost surely a miss and at the moment the 2nd system looks more like cold chasing moisture. Then of course we look to warm up. If we blow these 2 opportunities and have to rely on Feb I'd say our chances of going snowless AGAIN are way north of 50% at that point. Smdh
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I'm not an expert by any means, but my gut tells me MOST of us will be done with winter after about January 25th. February is a joke and you can't count on that month at all.
 
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