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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February

SD said:
That's a bomb over hudson bay.
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Now, if those 2 highs would just pinch a little ...
 
accu35 said:
Boy, the first week og February looks great. Good potential for cold and a winterstorm in yhe mix. Enjoy this warm weather while you can because February will start with a Boom!!!
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I wouldn't look for anything till the second week of February as far as storms go . Pattern change is always rushed by the models

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Storm5 said:
I wouldn't look for anything till the second week of February as far as storms go . Pattern change is always rushed by the models

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Not disagreeing ... but that's a long way out ... the whole key to "if" and perhaps "when" is tied to a few key indices ... let's see where they roll the next week to 10 days ... ;)
 
pcbjr said:
Not disagreeing ... but that's a long way out ... the whole key to "if" and perhaps "when" is tied to a few key indices ... let's see where they roll the next week to 10 days ... ;)
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Yes, indeed. Don't forget there are analogs that suggest long-lasting significant cold won't return as per my forecast. OTOH, the models late in the 11-15 period do suggest fun times may once again be ahead and Febs such as 1895 and 1899 may want at least a say in this. This is one time where I wouldn't at all mind being flat out wrong about 2/8+.
 
Storm5 said:
I wouldn't look for anything till the second week of February as far as storms go . Pattern change is always rushed by the models

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Except this year and the Christmas outbreak! Came earlier than expected, in the end.
 
GaWx said:
Yes, indeed. Don't forget there are analogs that suggest long-lasting significant cold won't return as per my forecast. OTOH, the models late in the 11-15 period do suggest fun times may once again be ahead and Febs such as 1895 and 1899 may want at least a say in this. This is one time where I wouldn't at all mind being flat out wrong about 2/8+.
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Larry,
Your forecast has reason, and a very sound basis. However, and an extremely cautious however at that, this year has defied all odds. If we go to summer weather next week, and stay there, of course it'll be disappointing, but there's always a chance for Mother Nature to do her thing in ways we never see. Don't sell yourself short, but by golly damn Man, I'm hoping against hope for something we all sit back and marvel at come 3/15/18 ... ;)

... and it's possible, but not probable ...

~~~~~~
EDIT - Just give Tony a bucket full of pingers and the world will be good for a year ... :p
 
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Holy Happy Hour, Batman. That run shows a high of all of 0 at Chicago on 2/6. It also suggests Nashville could be 32 or colder from noon 2/5 til 9AM on 2/8! This resembles the kind of cold seen earlier this month though this is only in fantasyland right now.
 
I've seen Larry mention 1960 a few times today . I know he isn't calling for a repeat but I'm gonna study what happened in 1960 to see if I need to go allnin for a 1960 part 2
 
I think I saw this posted in the January thread the other day, but I didn’t get a chance to comment on it. The below average temperatures that’s displayed for the second half of February from the CFS is drastically different from what they showed back in late November and early December the last time I saw them. It was wall to wall warmth across majority of the CONUS back then. Edit: I went back and found it, it was the weeklies, not the monthlies, I was wondering why I checked TT and the monthlies still showed above average temperatures in the SE. D’oh!
 
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GaWx said:
Each and every one of these is noteworthy for sure. However, I'd say the incredibly late 3/28/1955 and 2" St. Augustine should get asterisks for most unusual. Also, note a plurality of these was in the 2nd week of Feb.
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Yeah Larry, I heard about February 1958! Nearly 3 inches of snow in Tallahassee, FL!
 
Storm5 said:
I've seen Larry mention 1960 a few times today . I know he isn't calling for a repeat but I'm gonna study what happened in 1960 to see if I need to go allnin for a 1960 part 2
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Feb/March 1960 was on par with the Storm of the Century, as a once in a lifetime type 'event'... although, 1960 was a series of events over 2 months. Incredible durability of cold and snowfall for the mid-south/Southern Apps.
 
juicy fruit, get the cold and memphis/kentuck are in business.. :)
 
if we still see this look in 5 days, I think we're in business...
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SCweather said:
The Midlands of SC can’t even survive hour 276 (fantasy land) of the GFS. My lord
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It's okay. I'm not allowed to be pessimistic on here about snow chances in South Carolina because some members think I'm unbearable and stuff. So I've now decided to refrain from talking about the area. Too many people around the Midlands think I'm annoying. Either that, or I am an alcoholic who is too active at night.

With that said, the Midlands of SC do best in February, give it time! My last piece about the area for the Winter. ;)
 
Shawn said:
It's okay. I'm not allowed to be pessimistic on here about snow chances in South Carolina because some members think I'm unbearable and stuff. So I've now decided to refrain from talking about the area. Too many people around the Midlands think I'm annoying. Either that, or I am an alcoholic who is too active at night.

With that said, the Midlands of SC do best in February, give it time! My last piece about the area for the Winter. ;)
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hey, I'm just like you only in Tennessee.. give me a moderator's tag.
 
Shawn said:
It's okay. I'm not allowed to be pessimistic on here about snow chances in South Carolina because some members think I'm unbearable and stuff. So I've now decided to refrain from talking about the area. Too many people around the Midlands think I'm annoying. Either that, or I am an alcoholic who is too active at night.

With that said, the Midlands of SC do best in February, give it time! My last piece about the area for the Winter. ;)
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"unbearable and stuff" LOL, that's a good one Shawn. I will admit though, I have been tempted to tell you to shut up a few times but I refrained.
 
What does this show? What does it mean? How much imby??? Inquiring minds want to know, yada yada yada ;)
 
Shawn said:
It's okay. I'm not allowed to be pessimistic on here about snow chances in South Carolina because some members think I'm unbearable and stuff. So I've now decided to refrain from talking about the area. Too many people around the Midlands think I'm annoying. Either that, or I am an alcoholic who is too active at night.

With that said, the Midlands of SC do best in February, give it time! My last piece about the area for the Winter. ;)
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It's a passion dude. I get the same way, I get frustrated and get negative. It's the same way with your favorite sports team. As soon as they have one bad play, you already start saying they are going to lose. I'm the same way. When you're into it this much, the let downs take a toll after awhile.
 
Storm5 said:
Fab Feb is on its way. This thread title might be changed as we get closer to Feb. It should be a rule that the February thread is always fab feb
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I was going to go with Fab February when I started my thread, but was trying to be more original with Ferocious February.
 
Winds blowing to 25mph here in the upstate. Almost feels like an arctic front is blowing in. Only problem is they're blowing out of the WSW : (

Hopefully come mid February we can get these same winds coming from th North
 
GFS showing back to back cold chasing moisture events at the beginning of February. My area does really well with those :( congrats to the deep and mid south
 
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