pcbjr
Member
It's climate change ... water no longer freezes at 32º ...
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Freezing Ferocious February
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Brent
Member
Dang major lightning now :weenie:
Kylo
Member
To add onto the above about the models struggling. Below is today’s EPS for the 6-10 vs what it had 5 days ago for the same period. Granted, neither are great but still hoping for another chance end of February into March.
JLL1973
Member
Thunder and lightening here also
Round Oak Weather
Member
I'll take a March 1,2009 here had 4in of snow the most I've ever seen
So, are you getting thunder ZR? That's something I don't recall ever seeing.
Nomanslandva
Member
It's climate change ... water no longer freezes at 32º ...
From one Phil to another, that cracked me up...
Brent
Member
it looks like yeah, the fence is a bit icy. I was hovering right at 32 during most of the precip
Just wet on the ground. Not the first time I've heard of thunder ZR here in Texas anyway
Looks like both the GFS and Euro trying to get colder in the East late in the runs... think after this warm rainy spell into mid-month we finish off Feb at least BN temp-wise. Whether or not any deep cold and snow is in the offing is up in the air.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Snow_chaser
Member
Some of the heaviest rain I’ve seen in years. Driving my daughter to school was an adventure lol
Kylo
Member
GEFS 11-16 looks close to how the past week was. Big PV low over North/Central Canada, ridging just off the coast and a block trying to build. EPS isn't any better. Rather disappointing way to end February but we look to get out of this drought.
Didn't somebody say a ridge all around through half the world couldn't happen? Looks like it in that model! Sad end to winter
Can someone do some searching and find/post a map with blue colors in the southeast? I need a pick-me-up. Thanks
Jon
Member
The GEFS can’t even get the 10-day right, it’s not going to accurately predict the 11-16 mean heights for the NH.
Tweeted this last night
And sure enough the model corrected the trough.
The positive thing I do see out of that 11-16 day mean in the quote is a stout -AO, which models have also caught onto the last 1-2 or so
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Tweeted this last night
And sure enough the model corrected the trough.
The positive thing I do see out of that 11-16 day mean in the quote is a stout -AO, which models have also caught onto the last 1-2 or so
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
#Winning
Kylo
Member
That’s not the problem, ridge axis is to far west and PV low to far north. That’s per the GEFS and EPS, they could be wrong.
Lots of rainfall coming for drought zones here is the latest GFS CMC JMA totals with GFS highest showing over 6-10" of rain
Kylo
Member
The GEFS can’t even get the 10-day right, it’s not going to accurately predict the 11-16 mean heights for the NH.
Tweeted this last night
And sure enough the model corrected the trough.
The positive thing I do see out of that 11-16 day mean in the quote is a stout -AO, which models have also caught onto the last 1-2 or so
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
GEFS has been, so far, incorrectly trying to take the AO negative and PNA positive. Yes, models could be wrong but doesn’t mean it will correct to cold in the southeast.