Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS looking Pretty damn good

 

[ATLwxfan]

It’s not far off at all from multiple storms. Potential is as high as it’s been. This is the window. No question. Except for icon lover guy.


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[Myfrotho704_]

I still don’t like this system but worse then 18z, still there ig

 

[Jessy89]

I’m hoping for good esamble members even
Though the gfs was mostly dry. Of course there was a valentine storm my youngest son’s birthday


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[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS looking Pretty damn good View attachment 70492

Nice overrunning look right here

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Woof

 

[BufordWX]

These wind chills on the Canadian though. Lol

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Major ice storm on the Canadian

 

[BufordWX]

1045 mb is a pretty good mean for a high pressure 8-9 days out.

 

[Tarheel1]

I still don’t like this system but worse then 18z, still there ig View attachment 70493View attachment 70494

This map looks yummy! You keep tryna leave me off, but I see just enough, even though I don’t know geography, that is ? worthy

 

[jjwxman]

Holy Crap! Freezing rain down to the GOM!

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[NickyBGuarantee]

Tarheel1:
Negative temperatures:

 

[Tarheel1]

Tarheel1:
Negative temperatures:
View attachment 70507

The CMC may not be that far off! They were talking on the late local news tonight about -35 to -45 degree windchills Sunday night! ?️

 

[BIG FROSTY]

The CMC may not be that far off! They were talking on the late local news tonight about -35 to -45 degree windchills Sunday night! ?

Jacket weather! ?

 

[Tarheel1]

Jacket weather! ?

Quite the stretch of cold coming up! Kicked off with a little snow!

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Quite the stretch of cold coming up! Kicked off with a little snow! View attachment 70509View attachment 70510

That's not bad! (j/k) That's the kind of weather you crave coming from the south, So enjoy it! You'll be ready to move back to SC before long! lol

 

[BufordWX]

Snow into the gulf on the Euro. Lol

 

[BufordWX]

That’s a heck of a high pressure.

 

[Chandler]

Looks like Jan 2018

 

[MSnowAtl]

Looks like Jan 2018View attachment 70514

This will trend back North!!!

 

[Webberweather53]

1045 mb is a pretty good mean for a high pressure 8-9 days out.View attachment 70506

1045 is absurd for a mean that far out. Once you account for dispersion you probably are talking about a 1055 coming down out of Canada. It's the kind of high that can make it snow on the Gulf coast & in Florida.

 

[stormcentral]

This is close for the midsouth area

Northwest trend...

 

[Shawn]

And that euro run RIGHT THERE is exactly what I was saying earlier to the people freaking out over the cold being more moderate. You will end up with cold and dry. Now, that run verbatim; looks great for my back yard and the deep south... cause that cold push is probably a bit much.

Just look @ the pattern though.. Florida... not just the panhandle either.

 

[Webberweather53]

And that euro run RIGHT THERE is exactly what I was saying earlier to the people freaking out over the cold being more moderate. You will end up with cold and dry. Now, that run verbatim; looks great for my back yard and the deep south... cause that cold push is probably a bit much.

Just look @ the pattern though.. Florida... not just the panhandle either.

Well if the storm goes to your south, chase it lol

 

[Webberweather53]

I don't I've ever seen a 1045mb sfc high descending into the CONUS on a day 9 ensemble mean before. Both the GEFS and EPS are doing exactly that

 

[Shawn]

Well if the storm goes to your south, chase it lol

If SC gets blanked and Florida gets a substantial snow; I might do that just for the historic reasoning.

 

[Webberweather53]

If SC gets blanked and Florida gets a substantial snow; I might do that just for the historic reasoning.

Yeah exactly lol

 

[Shawn]

Yeah exactly lol

Well seeing the lower pressure in the eps mean you posted along with the high being a bit slower is not a bad look for the SE, maybe even I-20. I'll take it.

 

[Webberweather53]

Well seeing the lower pressure in the eps mean you posted along with the high being a bit slower is not a bad look for the SE, maybe even I-20. I'll take it.

There are a number of EPS members showing legit snow down near the Gulf coast & I-10 corridor this run.

 

[Brent]

Well if the storm goes to your south, chase it lol

Been there done that lol it was pretty top of the line too

 

[Webberweather53]

Fwiw, ~2/3rds of the 0z EPS suite has an overrunning event in the Feb 10-13 time frame between the I-40 & I-10 corridors

 

[Webberweather53]

Been a while since I've seen an EPS run like this in Fayetteville & Lumberton. Plus, most of those members w/ snow are overrunning events

 

[Faco Thomas]

Been a while since I've seen an EPS run like this in Fayetteville & Lumberton. Plus, most of those members w/ snow are overrunning events

View attachment 70519

View attachment 70520

How did the EPS looked for Augusta/Colombia far as snow?

 

[Webberweather53]

How did the EPS looked for Augusta/Colombia far as snow?

Honestly, that's really impressive for this far out & south

 

[Webberweather53]

EPS non-zero snow mean down to the Gulf coast

 

[Webberweather53]

The 850mb 0C line is well south of I-20 on the EPS

 

[Webberweather53]

Very strong overrunning signal on the 0z EPS ~ day 8-9. Good look for folks near/along the 20 corridor

 

[Clem282340]

Very strong overrunning signal on the 0z EPS ~ day 8-9. Good look for folks near/along the 20 corridor

View attachment 70526

What does the mean look like for this weekend storm

 

[Webberweather53]

What does the mean look like for this weekend storm

Congrats mid-Atlantic

 

[Webberweather53]

Here's the EPS snow mean for the real period of interest around to just after Feb 10th. The max in snow on the EPS mean over the entire E US is actually over SC, GA, & east-central NC.